How Kalshi settles Highest temperature in Austin
Rules last read
Settles YES when
The contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named station for the settlement date falls within the specified temperature range, as reported by The Weather Company.
4 resolution traps in the KXHIGHAUS rules
The wording that changes how or when the contract settles — which data source and which print, the exact metric, rounding, date boundaries, void conditions.
Highest temperature in AustinThe contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named station for the settlement date falls within the specified temperature range, as reported by The Weather Company.4 traps
- Inclusive range boundaries unclear — The rules state 'between 104–105°F' but do not specify whether the endpoints are inclusive or exclusive, so a reading of exactly 104°F or exactly 105°F may or may not resolve YES depending on interpretation.
- Single data source: The Weather Company only — Resolution is tied exclusively to The Weather Company's data, so readings from NWS, Weather Underground, or any other provider are irrelevant even if they differ materially.
- Specific station (CLIAUS) — not a city average — Only data from the CLIAUS station is used; temperatures recorded at other Austin-area stations or airports will not count toward resolution.
- No revision policy stated — The rules do not clarify whether the initial reported maximum or a later corrected/revised reading from The Weather Company governs, which matters if data is updated after initial publication.
KXHIGHAUS contracts open now
A contract price in cents is already a probability — 42c is a 42% implied chance. Prices from Kalshi, refreshed periodically; check the exchange before taking a position.
Our record on KXHIGHAUS
13
graded
3
won
23.0%
win rate
+22¢
net
Net is a SUM over a flat one-contract stake — +1.7¢ per contract across 13. Full method and every graded position on the track record.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How does Kalshi settle Highest temperature in Austin markets?
The contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named station for the settlement date falls within the specified temperature range, as reported by The Weather Company. That criterion is the whole contract — the headline question is a summary of it, not the rule itself.
What can go wrong when a Highest temperature in Austin contract resolves?
We flag 4 traps in these rules. The first: Inclusive range boundaries unclear — The rules state 'between 104–105°F' but do not specify whether the endpoints are inclusive or exclusive, so a reading of exactly 104°F or exactly 105°F may or may not resolve YES depending on interpretation.
What does the KXHIGHAUS ticker mean?
KXHIGHAUS is Kalshi's series ticker for Highest temperature in Austin. Individual contracts append the event and the strike — so one series carries many contracts, all settling under the same rule. This page covers the rule; the board above lists the contracts open right now.
Do you have a record trading Highest temperature in Austin?
Yes — 13 graded positions on KXHIGHAUS: 3 won, 10 lost, +22¢ net at one contract per signal (+1.7¢ per contract).
This is our reading of Kalshi’s published resolution rules, not a substitute for them — read the contract before taking a position. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice.