How Kalshi settles Highest temperature in Austin
Reviewed by Benny Ricciardi
Rules last read
Settles YES when
Each contract in this series resolves YES if the maximum daily temperature recorded at Austin station CLIAUS by The Weather Company falls within the specific range or direction defined for that contract (between-inclusive, strictly greater than, or strictly less than the threshold) on the designated settlement date.
3 resolution traps in the KXHIGHAUS rules
The wording that changes how or when the contract settles — which data source and which print, the exact metric, rounding, date boundaries, void conditions.
Highest temperature in AustinEach contract in this series resolves YES if the maximum daily temperature recorded at Austin station CLIAUS by The Weather Company falls within the specific range or direction defined for that contract (between-inclusive, strictly greater than, or strictly less than the threshold) on the designated settlement date.3 traps
- Range vs. strict comparison varies per variant — Variant 1 uses an inclusive between-range (102–103°F), Variant 2 uses strictly greater than, and Variant 3 uses strictly less than — hitting an exact boundary resolves differently depending on which contract you hold.
- CLIAUS station, not a general Austin reading — Resolution is tied specifically to The Weather Company's CLIAUS station data, which may differ from other weather services or nearby stations, so traders should verify this source directly.
- Maximum daily temp, not average or closing — The metric is the single maximum temperature recorded for the day, not an average or a specific time-of-day reading, so intraday spikes are what matter for settlement.
KXHIGHAUS contracts open now
A contract price in cents is already a probability — 42c is a 42% implied chance. Prices from Kalshi, refreshed periodically; check the exchange before taking a position.
Our record on KXHIGHAUS
17
graded
5
won
29.0%
win rate
+82¢
net
Net is a SUM over a flat one-contract stake — +4.8¢ per contract across 17. Full method and every graded position on the track record.
Go deeper
Frequently Asked Questions
How does Kalshi settle Highest temperature in Austin markets?
Each contract in this series resolves YES if the maximum daily temperature recorded at Austin station CLIAUS by The Weather Company falls within the specific range or direction defined for that contract (between-inclusive, strictly greater than, or strictly less than the threshold) on the designated settlement date. That criterion is the whole contract — the headline question is a summary of it, not the rule itself.
What can go wrong when a Highest temperature in Austin contract resolves?
We flag 3 traps in these rules. The first: Range vs. strict comparison varies per variant — Variant 1 uses an inclusive between-range (102–103°F), Variant 2 uses strictly greater than, and Variant 3 uses strictly less than — hitting an exact boundary resolves differently depending on which contract you hold.
What does the KXHIGHAUS ticker mean?
KXHIGHAUS is Kalshi's series ticker for Highest temperature in Austin. Individual contracts append the event and the strike — so one series carries many contracts, all settling under the same rule. This page covers the rule; the board above lists the contracts open right now.
Do you have a record trading Highest temperature in Austin?
Yes — 17 graded positions on KXHIGHAUS: 5 won, 12 lost, +82¢ net at one contract per signal (+4.8¢ per contract).
This is our reading of Kalshi’s published resolution rules, not a substitute for them — read the contract before taking a position. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice.