Robinhood Prediction Markets
Live event contract data and market analysis for Robinhood traders
How Robinhood Prediction Markets Work
Event Contracts
Yes/No contracts priced in cents. Buy Yes at $0.53, collect $1 if correct. The price is the implied probability.
CFTC-Regulated
Robinhood Derivatives, LLC. is a registered Futures Commission Merchant. Same federal framework as Kalshi.
App-Only
Prediction markets live inside the Robinhood app. No separate account needed if you already invest with Robinhood.
What Can You Trade on Robinhood?
Sports
NFL, NBA, MLB, college sports, FIFA World Cup, Olympics
Politics
Elections, legislation, executive actions, appointments
Economics
Fed rate decisions, CPI, GDP, S&P 500, unemployment
World Events
International elections, geopolitical outcomes
Companies
Earnings surprises, leadership changes, IPOs
Crypto
Bitcoin price levels, ETF approvals, regulatory rulings
Robinhood event contracts trade on the same Kalshi-regulated exchange. Data sourced via Kalshi API.
Robinhood vs. Other Prediction Markets
| Feature | Robinhood | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regulatory Status | CFTC-regulated (FCM) | CFTC-regulated (exchange) | CFTC-regulated (waitlist) |
| Access | Robinhood app (existing users) | App + Web | Waitlist (2026) |
| Market Types | Sports, politics, economics, crypto | 1,600+ markets | Deepest selection globally |
| Account Required | Robinhood account | Separate Kalshi account | Separate Polymarket account |
| Trading Fees | ~$0.01 per contract | Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢ | Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100 |
| KYC Required | Yes | Yes | Yes |
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