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FED DESK

Kalshi vs Polymarket vs futures on the next FOMC decision

Fed Rate Tracker · live

15-MINUTE

Every Kalshi 15-minute window, priced against the late-flip risk

Bitcoin · gold · silver · oil

MIDTERMS

Every 2026 race priced on Kalshi and Polymarket

Senate · House · governors

COMBO EDGE

Correlation-aware Kalshi combos — free

SILVER EDGE

Options vs. Kalshi on weekly silver brackets

Pro is the Desk.

The tools that price the market — Fed, 15-minute, politics, arb, NFL — graded in public. $150/yr, $111 your first year. Cancel anytime. The NFL module — 59.6% straight-up across 3,266 walk-forward games — is one module of it, not the whole subscription.

Go Pro — $111 your first year →

Monthly

$14.99/mo

Cancel any time

Annual

BEST VALUE

$150/yr

Cancel any time

What Pro adds

The boards below are free. Pro is the layer around them.

See it before you buy

Every link below is free to read, no signup.

PredictionMarketsPicks Pro — frequently asked

What does Pro cost?

$150 a year, or $14.99 a month. The annual is the same access for the whole season and every month after it — it is the plan to take if you are here for the NFL year. There is no contract and you can cancel any time from your account page.

What is actually free without Pro?

The game edges board is free permanently — our model's win probability against the live Kalshi price on every game, moneyline, spread and total, with no signup. So are the full-slate model lines, power rankings, MVP market reads and all 32 team hubs. Win totals, championship probabilities and player projections keep their top 8 rows free; the full boards are Pro.

What does Pro add?

The full depth of the futures, championship and projection boards, edge alerts in Discord the moment a gap opens, the full Kalshi vs Polymarket price-gap board, Thee Oracle, the commodity and crypto edge engines, and agent access to the same model over MCP so tools like Claude or ChatGPT can call it directly. All 29 quant tools are included.

How accurate is the NFL model?

In a walk-forward backtest of 3,266 games from 2013–2024, the model called winners straight up 59.6% of the time with a 0.236 Brier score, using no market line as an input. Accuracy rises with the model's own stated confidence, reaching 71.5% on games where it flags an edge above 20 points.

Can I cancel?

Yes — any time from your account page, and you keep access through the end of the period you already paid for. There is no contract and no cancellation fee.

Are these markets legal to trade?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange available in all 50 states, and its contracts settle at $1 or $0 rather than against a house line. We publish analysis; where you take a position is your call. Contracts can settle at $0 — trade responsibly.

26% off your first year with code NFL26 — ends Dec 31

Cancel any time. Contracts can settle at $0 — trade responsibly.

Go Pro →