Settles YES when
Resolves YES if the WTI crude oil daily settlement price (for the relevant contract month) on the settlement date is strictly above the threshold in USD per barrel.
3 resolution traps in the KXWTI rules
The wording that changes how or when the contract settles β which data source and which print, the exact metric, rounding, date boundaries, void conditions.
WTI oil on dayResolves YES if the WTI crude oil daily settlement price (for the relevant contract month) on the settlement date is strictly above the threshold in USD per barrel.3 traps
- Strictly above threshold β exact hit resolves NO β The rule uses 'above', not 'at or above', so a settlement price exactly equal to the threshold resolves NO, not YES.
- Specific contract month vs. front-month distinction β Some contracts in this series specify a named futures contract month (e.g., October 2026), while others use the front-month settle price β these can differ meaningfully in price, so traders must confirm which definition applies to their specific contract.
- Daily settlement price, not intraday price β Resolution uses the official daily settlement (closing) price published by CME/NYMEX for WTI crude oil, not any intraday high, low, or spot quote β a price spike during the session that doesn't survive to settlement is irrelevant.
KXWTI contracts open now
A contract price in cents is already a probability β 42c is a 42% implied chance. Prices from Kalshi, refreshed periodically; check the exchange before taking a position.
Our record on KXWTI
599
graded
277
won
46.0%
win rate
+$7.10
net
Net is a SUM over a flat one-contract stake β +1.2Β’ per contract across 599. Full method and every graded position on the track record.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How does Kalshi settle WTI oil on day markets?
Resolves YES if the WTI crude oil daily settlement price (for the relevant contract month) on the settlement date is strictly above the threshold in USD per barrel. That criterion is the whole contract β the headline question is a summary of it, not the rule itself.
What can go wrong when a WTI oil on day contract resolves?
We flag 3 traps in these rules. The first: Strictly above threshold β exact hit resolves NO β The rule uses 'above', not 'at or above', so a settlement price exactly equal to the threshold resolves NO, not YES.
What does the KXWTI ticker mean?
KXWTI is Kalshi's series ticker for WTI oil on day. Individual contracts append the event and the strike β so one series carries many contracts, all settling under the same rule. This page covers the rule; the board above lists the contracts open right now.
Do you have a record trading WTI oil on day?
Yes β 599 graded positions on KXWTI: 277 won, 322 lost, +$7.10 net at one contract per signal (+1.2Β’ per contract).
This is our reading of Kalshiβs published resolution rules, not a substitute for them β read the contract before taking a position. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice.