New Release · The 7 Oracles

World Cup 2026: The Complete Betting Guide

Monte Carlo Simulations, Golden Boot Projections & Value Plays for Every Match

48 teams. 104 matches. 10,000 simulations. Every edge quantified.

48

Teams covered

104

Matches analyzed

10K

Simulations run

Get the guide free with Pro

$9.99 on Amazon — included at no extra cost with every Pro subscription ($14.99/mo). Pro also unlocks all 12 quant tools, the arb scanner, Thee Oracle, and the full simulation results.

What's inside

01

How to Read a World Cup Market

Tournament futures, group-stage props, and where the real edge lives.

02

The Monte Carlo Engine

10,000 simulations, Poisson modeling, and how we rank every team's true odds.

03

Favorites, Dark Horses & Traps

Spain, England, France — where the market is right and where it's leaving money.

04

Golden Boot Projections

Top 25 scorers by goals-per-game rate, penalty edge, and expected group progression.

05

Value Plays by Group

Every group broken down — teams to back, teams to fade, and the specific bets worth sizing.

06

Prediction Market Strategy

How to use Kalshi and Polymarket for World Cup edges — liquidity timing, arbitrage windows.

Data-driven, not opinion-driven

Every projection in this guide comes from the same Monte Carlo engine that runs the live simulation on this site. We ran the full 2026 bracket 10,000 times — accounting for group-stage draws, knockout variance, and individual player goal rates. The book translates that output into actionable bets.

Companion resource

Free team profiles for all 48 squads

Every team covered in the book has a dedicated betting profile on the hub — odds, key players, group draw, and tactical breakdown. Free, no subscription required.

Browse all 48 team profiles →

World Cup starts June 11, 2026

Get the edge before the markets move

Group-stage odds tighten fast once the tournament starts. The value is in the pre-tournament futures — which is exactly what the guide is built for.