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The 7 Oracles · Embeddable Tile

Kalshi vs Polymarket — Live Sports Gaps

Live cross-exchange price gaps between Kalshi and Polymarket on the same games — NBA and MLB (NFL added in September). Where two efficient exchanges disagree, ranked by KL divergence. Updated every 15 minutes.

Live preview

Live preview — same code partners embed. Scales to any container width on mobile and desktop. Also available in Article (728×400) and Sidebar (320×300) sizes.

What this tile shows

Live price gaps between Kalshi (US-regulated, CFTC-licensed) and Polymarket on the same sports games. For each game listed on both exchanges, the widget shows Kalshi and Polymarket implied win probabilities, the gap in percentage points, and a signal tier based on symmetric KL divergence (ARB for the largest cross-exchange disagreements, WATCH for moderate ones). Because neither exchange charges vig, the gap is the true cross-exchange price difference, not a house margin. Covers NBA and MLB (daily April–October), with NFL added in September. Refreshed every 15 minutes by the PredictionMarketsPicks sports-arb engine.

Install

Pick the size that fits your layout and paste the iframe — with the credit line under it — into your page. Arc XP, WordPress, Ghost, Webflow, Substack, Beehiiv, Notion — any raw-HTML block.

Hero
560 × 320 px
Preview ↗
Fixed size — pixel-perfect
<iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/sports-arb/hero"
  width="560"
  height="320"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="Kalshi vs Polymarket — Live Sports Gaps — The 7 Oracles">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Live sports market odds from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/widgets/sports-arb?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=sports-arb">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>
Responsive — scales to container width (recommended)
<div style="position:relative;width:100%;max-width:560px;margin:0 auto;">
  <div style="position:relative;padding-bottom:57.14%;height:0;overflow:hidden;">
    <iframe
      src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/sports-arb/hero"
      style="position:absolute;inset:0;width:100%;height:100%;border:0;"
      loading="lazy"
      title="Kalshi vs Polymarket — Live Sports Gaps — The 7 Oracles"></iframe>
  </div>
</div>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Live sports market odds from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/widgets/sports-arb?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=sports-arb">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>
Article
728 × 400 px
Preview ↗
Fixed size — pixel-perfect
<iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/sports-arb/article"
  width="728"
  height="400"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="Kalshi vs Polymarket — Live Sports Gaps — The 7 Oracles">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Live sports market odds from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/widgets/sports-arb?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=sports-arb">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>
Responsive — scales to container width (recommended)
<div style="position:relative;width:100%;max-width:728px;margin:0 auto;">
  <div style="position:relative;padding-bottom:54.95%;height:0;overflow:hidden;">
    <iframe
      src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/sports-arb/article"
      style="position:absolute;inset:0;width:100%;height:100%;border:0;"
      loading="lazy"
      title="Kalshi vs Polymarket — Live Sports Gaps — The 7 Oracles"></iframe>
  </div>
</div>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Live sports market odds from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/widgets/sports-arb?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=sports-arb">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>
Sidebar
320 × 300 px
Preview ↗
Fixed size — pixel-perfect
<iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/sports-arb/sidebar"
  width="320"
  height="300"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="Kalshi vs Polymarket — Live Sports Gaps — The 7 Oracles">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Live sports market odds from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/widgets/sports-arb?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=sports-arb">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>
Responsive — scales to container width (recommended)
<div style="position:relative;width:100%;max-width:320px;margin:0 auto;">
  <div style="position:relative;padding-bottom:93.75%;height:0;overflow:hidden;">
    <iframe
      src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/sports-arb/sidebar"
      style="position:absolute;inset:0;width:100%;height:100%;border:0;"
      loading="lazy"
      title="Kalshi vs Polymarket — Live Sports Gaps — The 7 Oracles"></iframe>
  </div>
</div>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Live sports market odds from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/widgets/sports-arb?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=sports-arb">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Put live prediction-market tiles on your outlet

Publisher licensing is per outlet: placements, sites, and the credit link. Contact Enterprise.

Attribution

Every tile carries the credit bar inside the frame (THE 7 ORACLES · Powered by PredictionMarketsPicks) and one credit line under it that links to the tile’s page as a standard followed link. The credit is part of the license on every tier. Do not crop, recolor or cover the bar.

FAQ

What does the Kalshi vs Polymarket — Live Sports Gaps tile show?

Live price gaps between Kalshi (US-regulated, CFTC-licensed) and Polymarket on the same sports games. For each game listed on both exchanges, the widget shows Kalshi and Polymarket implied win probabilities, the gap in percentage points, and a signal tier based on symmetric KL divergence (ARB for the largest cross-exchange disagreements, WATCH for moderate ones). Because neither exchange charges vig, the gap is the true cross-exchange price difference, not a house margin. Covers NBA and MLB (daily April–October), with NFL added in September. Refreshed every 15 minutes by the PredictionMarketsPicks sports-arb engine.

What sizes does Kalshi vs Polymarket — Live Sports Gaps ship?

Hero 560×320, Article 728×400, Sidebar 320×300. Arc XP, WordPress, Ghost, Webflow, Substack, Beehiiv, Notion — any raw-HTML block.

Can I put a tile on my site?

Preview free on your own page — a handful of loads a day per site — then license it. Live publication runs on an Enterprise key — Contact Enterprise at the7oracles@gmail.com.

What does it cost?

Publisher licensing is per outlet: placements, sites, and the credit link. Contact Enterprise. Write to the7oracles@gmail.com.

Is attribution required?

Every tile carries the credit bar inside the frame (THE 7 ORACLES · Powered by PredictionMarketsPicks) and one credit line under it that links to the tile’s page as a standard followed link. The credit is part of the license on every tier.

Where does the data come from, and how often does it refresh?

Live prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.com via their public APIs; model numbers from The 7 Oracles’ simulations. Each tile’s payload refreshes on its own cadence (5–15 minutes for most; daily for Macro Pulse) and the tile re-renders on every load.

What sizes are there?

Hero 560×300 · Article 728×400 · Sidebar 320×200–360 · MPU 300×250 · Leaderboard 728×90 (IAB units) — not every tile ships every size; each tile’s page lists its own.

Can the trade button use our own affiliate links?

Enterprise keys carry your own Kalshi / Polymarket US destination; the tile’s trade button renders it instead of ours.

Can I get the data instead of the tile?

Need the numbers instead of the tile? JSON and CSV at /api/public/[slug] with an Enterprise key, to render natively — same credit line applies.

How do I remove a tile?

Stop loading the iframe — there is nothing to uninstall.