The 7 Oracles · Embeddable Tile

Government Shutdown Probability Tracker

Live probability of a US government shutdown from Kalshi prediction markets. Active during budget deadline windows. Shows dormant monitoring state when no deadline is active.

Live preview

Live preview — same code partners embed. Scales to any container width on mobile and desktop. Also available in Article (728×400) and Sidebar (320×200) and MPU (300×250) and Leaderboard (728×90) sizes.

What this tile shows

Market-implied probability of a US government shutdown from Kalshi binary prediction market contracts. Activates automatically when a budget deadline is approaching. Shows dormant monitoring state when no active market exists. Updated every 5 minutes.

Install

Pick the size that fits your layout and paste the iframe — with the credit line under it — into your page. Arc XP, WordPress, Ghost, Webflow, Substack, Beehiiv, Notion — any raw-HTML block.

Hero

560 × 300 px

Preview ↗

Fixed size — pixel-perfect

<iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/shutdown-tracker/hero"
  width="560"
  height="300"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="Government Shutdown Probability Tracker — The 7 Oracles">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Live election odds from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/widgets/shutdown-tracker?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=shutdown-tracker">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Responsive — scales to container width (recommended)

<div style="position:relative;width:100%;max-width:560px;margin:0 auto;">
  <div style="position:relative;padding-bottom:53.57%;height:0;overflow:hidden;">
    <iframe
      src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/shutdown-tracker/hero"
      style="position:absolute;inset:0;width:100%;height:100%;border:0;"
      loading="lazy"
      title="Government Shutdown Probability Tracker — The 7 Oracles"></iframe>
  </div>
</div>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Live election odds from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/widgets/shutdown-tracker?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=shutdown-tracker">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Article

728 × 400 px

Preview ↗

Fixed size — pixel-perfect

<iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/shutdown-tracker/article"
  width="728"
  height="400"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="Government Shutdown Probability Tracker — The 7 Oracles">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Live election odds from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/widgets/shutdown-tracker?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=shutdown-tracker">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Responsive — scales to container width (recommended)

<div style="position:relative;width:100%;max-width:728px;margin:0 auto;">
  <div style="position:relative;padding-bottom:54.95%;height:0;overflow:hidden;">
    <iframe
      src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/shutdown-tracker/article"
      style="position:absolute;inset:0;width:100%;height:100%;border:0;"
      loading="lazy"
      title="Government Shutdown Probability Tracker — The 7 Oracles"></iframe>
  </div>
</div>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Live election odds from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/widgets/shutdown-tracker?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=shutdown-tracker">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Sidebar

320 × 200 px

Preview ↗

Fixed size — pixel-perfect

<iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/shutdown-tracker/sidebar"
  width="320"
  height="200"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="Government Shutdown Probability Tracker — The 7 Oracles">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Live election odds from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/widgets/shutdown-tracker?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=shutdown-tracker">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Responsive — scales to container width (recommended)

<div style="position:relative;width:100%;max-width:320px;margin:0 auto;">
  <div style="position:relative;padding-bottom:62.50%;height:0;overflow:hidden;">
    <iframe
      src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/shutdown-tracker/sidebar"
      style="position:absolute;inset:0;width:100%;height:100%;border:0;"
      loading="lazy"
      title="Government Shutdown Probability Tracker — The 7 Oracles"></iframe>
  </div>
</div>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Live election odds from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/widgets/shutdown-tracker?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=shutdown-tracker">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

MPU

300 × 250 px

Preview ↗

Fixed size — pixel-perfect

<iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/shutdown-tracker/mpu"
  width="300"
  height="250"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="Government Shutdown Probability Tracker — The 7 Oracles">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Live election odds from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/widgets/shutdown-tracker?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=shutdown-tracker">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Responsive — scales to container width (recommended)

<div style="position:relative;width:100%;max-width:300px;margin:0 auto;">
  <div style="position:relative;padding-bottom:83.33%;height:0;overflow:hidden;">
    <iframe
      src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/shutdown-tracker/mpu"
      style="position:absolute;inset:0;width:100%;height:100%;border:0;"
      loading="lazy"
      title="Government Shutdown Probability Tracker — The 7 Oracles"></iframe>
  </div>
</div>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Live election odds from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/widgets/shutdown-tracker?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=shutdown-tracker">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Leaderboard

728 × 90 px

Preview ↗

Fixed size — pixel-perfect

<iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/shutdown-tracker/leaderboard"
  width="728"
  height="90"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="Government Shutdown Probability Tracker — The 7 Oracles">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Live election odds from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/widgets/shutdown-tracker?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=shutdown-tracker">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Responsive — scales to container width (recommended)

<div style="position:relative;width:100%;max-width:728px;margin:0 auto;">
  <div style="position:relative;padding-bottom:12.36%;height:0;overflow:hidden;">
    <iframe
      src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/shutdown-tracker/leaderboard"
      style="position:absolute;inset:0;width:100%;height:100%;border:0;"
      loading="lazy"
      title="Government Shutdown Probability Tracker — The 7 Oracles"></iframe>
  </div>
</div>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Live election odds from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/widgets/shutdown-tracker?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=shutdown-tracker">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

MPU (300×250) and Leaderboard (728×90) are IAB standard ad sizes — paste one where an ad already goes.

Share the number

Prediction markets put US government shutdown odds at 43%.

Auto-updates with the live market. Sharing carries a dofollow link back to this page.

Tweet this number ↗Open social card ↗

Put live prediction-market tiles on your outlet

Publisher licensing is per outlet: placements, sites, and the credit link. Contact Enterprise.

Contact Enterprise → the7oracles@gmail.com See the Tile Catalogue →

Attribution

Every tile carries the credit bar inside the frame (THE 7 ORACLES · Powered by PredictionMarketsPicks) and one credit line under it that links to the tile’s page as a standard followed link. The credit is part of the license on every tier. Do not crop, recolor or cover the bar.

FAQ

What does the Government Shutdown Probability Tracker tile show?

What sizes does Government Shutdown Probability Tracker ship?

Hero 560×300, Article 728×400, Sidebar 320×200, MPU 300×250, Leaderboard 728×90. Arc XP, WordPress, Ghost, Webflow, Substack, Beehiiv, Notion — any raw-HTML block.

Can I put a tile on my site?

Preview free on your own page — a handful of loads a day per site — then license it. Live publication runs on an Enterprise key — Contact Enterprise at the7oracles@gmail.com.

What does it cost?

Publisher licensing is per outlet: placements, sites, and the credit link. Contact Enterprise. Write to the7oracles@gmail.com.

Is attribution required?

Where does the data come from, and how often does it refresh?

Live prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.com via their public APIs; model numbers from The 7 Oracles’ simulations. Each tile’s payload refreshes on its own cadence (5–15 minutes for most; daily for Macro Pulse) and the tile re-renders on every load.

What sizes are there?

Hero 560×300 · Article 728×400 · Sidebar 320×200–360 · MPU 300×250 · Leaderboard 728×90 (IAB units) — not every tile ships every size; each tile’s page lists its own.

Can the trade button use our own affiliate links?

Enterprise keys carry your own Kalshi / Polymarket US destination; the tile’s trade button renders it instead of ours.

Can I get the data instead of the tile?

Need the numbers instead of the tile? JSON and CSV at /api/public/[slug] with an Enterprise key, to render natively — same credit line applies.

How do I remove a tile?

Stop loading the iframe — there is nothing to uninstall.