XAU odds on Kalshi
As of Nov 12, 2:42 AM ET, Kalshi prices 85% on “Will the gold close price be above 3922 USD/t.oz on November 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?”.
XAU is the gold spot price, in US dollars per troy ounce. Prices are the middle of each market's two-sided book; a price is a market reading, not a recommendation.
Our model's read on these strikes: Gold Edge →
Live XAU markets
Kalshi prices read Nov 12, 2:42 AM ET. Each venue settles on its own rules; check the contract before you trade.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the XAU odds on Kalshi?
As of Nov 12, 2:42 AM ET, Kalshi prices 85% on “Will the gold close price be above 3922 USD/t.oz on November 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?”.
What do XAU prediction markets track?
XAU is the gold spot price, in US dollars per troy ounce. Kalshi lists these on it: KXGOLDD, KXGOLDW, KXGOLDMON. A Yes contract pays $1 if it happens and $0 if not, so its price in cents reads as the market's chance.
Does Polymarket US have XAU markets?
Not that we found: our Polymarket US snapshots had no market on Gold when this page was built.