SPY odds on Kalshi
As of Nov 12, 12:44 AM ET, Kalshi prices 12% on “Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?”.
SPY is the SPDR S&P 500 ETF, which tracks the S&P 500 index that Kalshi’s markets settle on. Prices are the middle of each market's two-sided book; a price is a market reading, not a recommendation.
Live SPY markets
Kalshi prices read Nov 12, 12:44 AM ET. Each venue settles on its own rules; check the contract before you trade.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the SPY odds on Kalshi?
As of Nov 12, 12:44 AM ET, Kalshi prices 12% on “Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?”.
What do SPY prediction markets track?
SPY is the SPDR S&P 500 ETF, which tracks the S&P 500 index that Kalshi’s markets settle on. Kalshi lists these on it: KXINXU, KXINXY, KXINX, KXINXMAXY, KXINXMINY. A Yes contract pays $1 if it happens and $0 if not, so its price in cents reads as the market's chance.
Does Polymarket US have SPY markets?
Not that we found: our Polymarket US snapshots had no market on S&P 500 when this page was built.
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