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Friday Status Report Shakes Up Week 5 Projections: Pittman Falls 9.6 Points

Michael Pittman's Friday projection cratered 9.6 points to zero, headlining a 30-player re-run that also sliced Breece Hall 6.2 pts and lifted Noah Fant 5.0 pts ahead of Week 5 markets.

The 7 Oracles
October 9, 2026

The NFL's final game status report landed at 4:00 PM ET and our Friday re-run moved 30 player projections by at least half a point off Wednesday's numbers. Here's what changed and by how much.

Biggest Fallers

Biggest Risers

The Rest of the Board

Twenty more names shifted between 0.5 and 2.8 points in either direction, including Chris Olave (-2.8), Mike Evans (-2.8), Cam Skattebo (-2.7), D'Andre Swift (-2.6), Stefon Diggs (-2.5), Malik Nabers (-2.2), Alvin Kamara (-2.0), and Jordan Addison (-2.0). None of these are small β€” any of them can swing a contract's value if you were pricing off Wednesday's sheet.

For anyone building a market read off our player sheet, this is the update that matters: the Friday report reset Pittman and Hall to near-irrelevant, buoyed Fant and Wilson off the floor, and shaved anywhere from half a point to three-plus off a long list of skill-position names. Re-price before you trade.

Generated from the Friday 4:00 PM ET final status report. The numbers are the model's; no human edited the deltas.

_Teams affected: PIT, NYJ, NO, BAL, DAL, LV, MIN, SF._

Friday Status Report Shakes Up Week 5 Projections: Pittman Falls 9.6 Points β€” frequently asked

Why did Michael Pittman's projection fall 9.6 points?

Pittman's projection dropped from 9.6 points Wednesday to 0.0 in Friday's re-run, the largest move of the week. The final status report triggered a full zero-out in our model, the steepest single-player swing on the board. No other player moved by a full projection's worth of points this week, making this the clear headline number for Week 5 pricing.

Who gained the most value in the Friday update?

Noah Fant jumped 5.0 points, moving from 0.0 to 5.0 in the Friday re-run, the largest positive swing on the sheet. Roman Wilson was next at +2.9, climbing from 4.9 to 7.7. Both moves flip these two from non-factors to projection-relevant names for Week 5 market reads.

How many players moved in the Friday re-run?

30 players shifted by at least 0.5 points between Wednesday's projection and Friday's final re-run. Moves ranged from Pittman's -9.6 point swing down to half-point nudges like Jacory Croskey-Merritt's -1.4. That's a wide swath of the skill-position slate getting repriced in a single afternoon update.

Did any running backs see major projection drops?

Breece Hall fell 6.2 points, from 6.5 down to 0.3, the second-largest move of the week after Pittman. Ashton Jeanty also dropped 3.0 points, from 12.7 to 9.7, and Cam Skattebo slid 2.7 points. Three of the week's ten largest moves hit the running back position.

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The 7 Oracles is the analyst collective behind PredictionMarketsPicks β€” calibrated, data-first coverage of Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings, and FanDuel markets.

About the Oracles β†’
nfl week 5 injury reportnfl week 5 final status reportMichael Pittman week 5nfl final injury report kalshi

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