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KalshiWeather & climate

Will the maximum temperature be <81° on Oct 1, 2026?

1c

YES · 1% implied

47K

contracts 24h

46K

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas station CLIDFW on the contract's settlement date falls within the variant's specified range or threshold (between, strictly greater than, or strictly less than the threshold), per The Weather Company.

  • Inclusive vs. strict comparison varies by variant — Variant 1 uses 'between 102–103°F' (likely inclusive on both ends), while Variants 2 and 3 use strictly 'greater than' and 'less than' — hitting exactly the threshold value in V2 or V3 resolves NO, not YES.
  • CLIDFW station, not a broader Dallas area reading — Resolution is tied exclusively to The Weather Company's reading at station CLIDFW; temperatures reported by NWS, local news, or nearby stations are irrelevant even if they differ.
  • Maximum temp only — not average or high/low range — Only the single daily maximum figure at CLIDFW is used; intraday averages or overnight lows have no bearing on resolution.
  • No revision policy specified — The rules do not state whether The Weather Company's initial print or a later corrected value governs, so a data correction after initial publication could flip resolution unexpectedly.

These are the rules for the whole series — every contract in it settles the same way. Full KXHIGHTDAL settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

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