How Kalshi settles Dallas Maximum Temperature
Rules last read
Settles YES when
The contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named station on the settlement date falls within the specified temperature range, according to The Weather Company as the sole data source.
4 resolution traps in the KXHIGHTDAL rules
The wording that changes how or when the contract settles — which data source and which print, the exact metric, rounding, date boundaries, void conditions.
Dallas Maximum TemperatureThe contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named station on the settlement date falls within the specified temperature range, according to The Weather Company as the sole data source.4 traps
- Inclusive range: both endpoints resolve YES — The rule says 'between 104–105°F,' which in this series appears to mean an inclusive band — traders must confirm whether hitting exactly 104° or exactly 105° resolves YES or NO, as 'between' can legally exclude endpoints.
- Single source: The Weather Company only — Only The Weather Company's reading at CLIDFW is authoritative; NWS, Weather Underground, or any other feed showing a different max temp is irrelevant to settlement.
- Station-specific: CLIDFW, not city-wide — The contract settles on the CLIDFW station record specifically — a different Dallas-area sensor reporting a different max has no bearing on resolution.
- No revision policy stated — The rules do not specify whether an initial or a later-revised temperature print governs, so a correction issued after initial settlement could create ambiguity about finality.
KXHIGHTDAL contracts open now
A contract price in cents is already a probability — 42c is a 42% implied chance. Prices from Kalshi, refreshed periodically; check the exchange before taking a position.
Our record on KXHIGHTDAL
22
graded
7
won
32.0%
win rate
−61¢
net
Net is a SUM over a flat one-contract stake — −2.8¢ per contract across 22. Full method and every graded position on the track record.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How does Kalshi settle Dallas Maximum Temperature markets?
The contract resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at the named station on the settlement date falls within the specified temperature range, according to The Weather Company as the sole data source. That criterion is the whole contract — the headline question is a summary of it, not the rule itself.
What can go wrong when a Dallas Maximum Temperature contract resolves?
We flag 4 traps in these rules. The first: Inclusive range: both endpoints resolve YES — The rule says 'between 104–105°F,' which in this series appears to mean an inclusive band — traders must confirm whether hitting exactly 104° or exactly 105° resolves YES or NO, as 'between' can legally exclude endpoints.
What does the KXHIGHTDAL ticker mean?
KXHIGHTDAL is Kalshi's series ticker for Dallas Maximum Temperature. Individual contracts append the event and the strike — so one series carries many contracts, all settling under the same rule. This page covers the rule; the board above lists the contracts open right now.
Do you have a record trading Dallas Maximum Temperature?
Yes — 22 graded positions on KXHIGHTDAL: 7 won, 15 lost, −61¢ net at one contract per signal (−2.8¢ per contract).
This is our reading of Kalshi’s published resolution rules, not a substitute for them — read the contract before taking a position. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice.