How Kalshi settles Dallas Maximum Temperature
Reviewed by Benny Ricciardi
Rules last read
Settles YES when
Resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas station CLIDFW on the contract's settlement date falls within the variant's specified range or threshold (between, strictly greater than, or strictly less than the threshold), per The Weather Company.
4 resolution traps in the KXHIGHTDAL rules
The wording that changes how or when the contract settles β which data source and which print, the exact metric, rounding, date boundaries, void conditions.
Dallas Maximum TemperatureResolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas station CLIDFW on the contract's settlement date falls within the variant's specified range or threshold (between, strictly greater than, or strictly less than the threshold), per The Weather Company.4 traps
- Inclusive vs. strict comparison varies by variant β Variant 1 uses 'between 102β103Β°F' (likely inclusive on both ends), while Variants 2 and 3 use strictly 'greater than' and 'less than' β hitting exactly the threshold value in V2 or V3 resolves NO, not YES.
- CLIDFW station, not a broader Dallas area reading β Resolution is tied exclusively to The Weather Company's reading at station CLIDFW; temperatures reported by NWS, local news, or nearby stations are irrelevant even if they differ.
- Maximum temp only β not average or high/low range β Only the single daily maximum figure at CLIDFW is used; intraday averages or overnight lows have no bearing on resolution.
- No revision policy specified β The rules do not state whether The Weather Company's initial print or a later corrected value governs, so a data correction after initial publication could flip resolution unexpectedly.
KXHIGHTDAL contracts open now
A contract price in cents is already a probability β 42c is a 42% implied chance. Prices from Kalshi, refreshed periodically; check the exchange before taking a position.
Our record on KXHIGHTDAL
24
graded
8
won
33.0%
win rate
β98Β’
net
Net is a SUM over a flat one-contract stake β β4.1Β’ per contract across 24. Full method and every graded position on the track record.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How does Kalshi settle Dallas Maximum Temperature markets?
Resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas station CLIDFW on the contract's settlement date falls within the variant's specified range or threshold (between, strictly greater than, or strictly less than the threshold), per The Weather Company. That criterion is the whole contract β the headline question is a summary of it, not the rule itself.
What can go wrong when a Dallas Maximum Temperature contract resolves?
We flag 4 traps in these rules. The first: Inclusive vs. strict comparison varies by variant β Variant 1 uses 'between 102β103Β°F' (likely inclusive on both ends), while Variants 2 and 3 use strictly 'greater than' and 'less than' β hitting exactly the threshold value in V2 or V3 resolves NO, not YES.
What does the KXHIGHTDAL ticker mean?
KXHIGHTDAL is Kalshi's series ticker for Dallas Maximum Temperature. Individual contracts append the event and the strike β so one series carries many contracts, all settling under the same rule. This page covers the rule; the board above lists the contracts open right now.
Do you have a record trading Dallas Maximum Temperature?
Yes β 24 graded positions on KXHIGHTDAL: 8 won, 16 lost, β98Β’ net at one contract per signal (β4.1Β’ per contract).
This is our reading of Kalshiβs published resolution rules, not a substitute for them β read the contract before taking a position. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice.