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KalshiWeather & climate

Will the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 4, 2026?

1c

YES · 1% implied

35K

contracts 24h

28K

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago station CLIMDW on the settlement date meets the variant's threshold condition (between a range, strictly above, or strictly below the threshold) according to The Weather Company.

  • CLIMDW station, not a generic Chicago reading — Resolution uses the specific Weather Company station code CLIMDW — readings from other Chicago-area stations or sources are irrelevant and may differ.
  • The Weather Company is the sole data source — Only The Weather Company's recorded maximum is used; NWS, Weather Underground, or any other provider's data has no bearing on settlement, even if it differs.
  • Inclusive vs. strict boundary varies by variant — The range variant (e.g., 78–79°F) is inclusive on both ends, the 'greater than' variant is strictly exclusive (hitting exactly the threshold resolves NO), and the 'less than' variant is also strictly exclusive — the direction of the inequality changes which side of the threshold resolves YES vs. NO.
  • Integer Fahrenheit granularity assumed — The thresholds are stated in whole-degree Fahrenheit increments, so traders must confirm whether The Weather Company reports to decimal precision and how rounding affects boundary cases.

These are the rules for the whole series — every contract in it settles the same way. Full KXHIGHCHI settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

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