Gold price up in next 15 mins?
91c
YES · 91% implied
8K
contracts 24h
44K
open interest (contracts)
How this settles
Resolves YES if the Pyth GOLD 1-minute candlestick close price at the end of the 15-minute window (the top of the window) is greater than or equal to the Pyth GOLD 1-minute candlestick close price at the start of the 15-minute window (15 minutes earlier), both in USD.
- Pyth is the sole data source — not spot/futures exchanges — Settlement uses Pyth's GOLD feed exclusively; if Pyth's price diverges from CME, LBMA, or other gold benchmarks at those moments, the Pyth print governs regardless.
- 1-minute candle close, not the open or mid-window price — Only the close of the specific 1-minute candles at the start and end of the 15-minute window matter; intra-window price action is irrelevant.
- Comparison is ≥ (inclusive), so a flat print resolves YES — If both candle closes are identical, the contract resolves YES — a trader shorting the move would lose even on zero net movement.
- Cadence is every 15 minutes; no single fixed settlement time — Each contract in this series captures a different 15-minute window; the specific start and end timestamps vary per contract, so traders must verify the exact window boundary for the contract they are trading.
These are the rules for the whole series — every contract in it settles the same way. Full KXGOLD15M settlement rules →
24h move: +0.0c
Related Commodities Markets
Trade this market on Kalshi
Buy YES or NO directly on Kalshi
Compare this market on Polymarket
See if there's a price discrepancy worth trading
Get The 7 Oracles' take on this market — subscribe free
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.