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KalshiMacro & economics

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.7% in December?

8c

YES · 8% implied

489

contracts 24h

476

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the seasonally adjusted BLS Core CPI (All Urban Consumers, All Items less Food and Energy) for December 2026 shows a month-over-month increase strictly above 0.7%.

  • Strict 'above 0.7%' — exactly 0.7% loses — The rule says 'increases by above 0.7%', so a print of exactly 0.7% does NOT resolve YES, making the boundary critical for positions near that level.
  • December 2026, not December 2025 — The resolution rules explicitly reference December 2026, so traders assuming a near-term December (2025) print would be holding a much longer-duration position than expected.
  • No revision policy specified — initial vs. revised print — The rules don't clarify whether the first BLS release or a subsequent revision governs; if BLS revises the figure above/below 0.7% after initial publication, it's ambiguous which print settles the contract.
  • Seasonally adjusted series only — BLS publishes both seasonally adjusted and non-seasonally adjusted Core CPI figures that can differ; only the seasonally adjusted number counts per the rules, so traders must track the correct series.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXCPICORE settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

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