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KalshiCrypto

Bitcoin price on Oct 3, 2026?

19c

YES · 19% implied

17K

contracts 24h

16K

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Each contract resolves YES if the simple average of the 60 one-second prints of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) in the minute before the top of the hour is strictly above the strike at that hour. A new event settles every hour, around the clock, and the contract text names the hour (e.g. 5 PM EDT).

  • Strict 'above' — hitting threshold exactly resolves NO — The rules require the average to be above X.99 (e.g. above 77699.99 / 86249.99), so a BRTI average landing exactly on the threshold value fails the condition and resolves NO.
  • CF Benchmarks BRTI is the sole data source — Only CF Benchmarks' BRTI is used — no other Bitcoin price feed or exchange price counts, so discrepancies between BRTI and other indices are irrelevant to settlement.
  • 60-second average, not a spot print — Settlement uses the simple average of the 60 individual one-second BRTI values immediately before the cut-off, not any single spot price, so a momentary spike or dip through the threshold does not determine the outcome.
  • The price at :00 is not the settle — A chart showing bitcoin above the strike at exactly the top of the hour can still settle NO if the 60 one-second prints before it averaged lower. Check the average over the final minute, and the hour named in your contract — every hour is its own event.

These are the rules for the whole series — every contract in it settles the same way. Full KXBTCD settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

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