Will CPI Core rise more than 0.8% in October?

How this settles

Resolves YES if the seasonally adjusted BLS CPI-U All Items Less Food and Energy (Core CPI) for October 2026 shows a month-over-month increase strictly above 0.8%.

• Seasonally adjusted, not unadjusted print — The rule specifies the seasonally adjusted figure; the unadjusted Core CPI print can differ, and traders tracking the wrong series could misread the outcome.
• Strictly above 0.8%, not at 0.8% — A print of exactly 0.8% resolves NO — the threshold is exclusive, so a position holder needs the number to exceed, not merely meet, 0.8%.
• No revision clause specified — The rules cite the BLS publication without clarifying whether the initial release or a subsequent revision controls, creating risk if BLS later revises the figure above or below the threshold.
• October 2026, not October 2025 — The resolution month is October 2026 (reported ~November 2026), which is further out than traders might assume if they confuse the reference year.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXCPICORE settlement rules →