Sports Prediction Markets
NFL, NBA, MLB, soccer, golf and more — live implied probabilities across Kalshi and Polymarket.
World Cup 2026 — Top Mispricings
LIVETop sim-vs-market disagreements from the 10,000-run Monte Carlo. Match-of-the-Day card returns June 10.
BAL
+1.3
IND
-0.1
ARI
-3.6
LAC
-0.4
MIA
-3.0
LV
-5.8
NFL Futures — Live Markets
NFL Hub →Super Bowl LXI Winner
Top 6 by market price
Los Angeles R win the Super Bowl
Seattle win the Super Bowl
Kansas City win the Super Bowl
Buffalo win the Super Bowl
Baltimore win the Super Bowl
San Francisco win the Super Bowl
NFL MVP 2026
Top 5 candidates
Lamar Jackson win the MVP
Josh Allen win the MVP
Justin Herbert win the MVP
Joe Burrow win the MVP
Patrick Mahomes win the MVP
Live Kalshi prices. Updated every 5 min market hours.
Want alerts when these markets move? Go Pro →
🏟️ Sports Spotlight
Featured markets & analysisWorld Cup 2026 Markets
48 teams, 104 matches. Live winner odds + match-of-day mispricings on Kalshi and Polymarket.
Explore WC2026 →Fade the Field — Live Show
Weekly prediction-market show. Sports, futures, longshots, board game — all the trades the market is sleeping on.
Watch latest →NFL Power Rankings & Edges
Our Gridiron Edge Rating (GER) vs. live Kalshi futures. Game-by-game edges launch August 2026 — season win totals and Super Bowl winner contracts are live now.
View Hub →Sports on Kalshi
NFL futures, NBA, soccer, golf — every active prediction-market contract on the CFTC-regulated exchange. Live prices and 24h volume.
Browse markets →Fade the Field — Latest
Daily Video Drops Here
New market analysis every morning at 6 AM ET — connect your YouTube channel or set a video in lib/media-config.ts
Live on Kalshi — Sports
All Kalshi markets →Updated every 5 min. NFL Draft + World Cup 2026 contracts on the CFTC-regulated exchange.
World Cup 2026 — Top Mispricings
LIVETop sim-vs-market disagreements from the 10,000-run Monte Carlo. Match-of-the-Day card returns June 10.
NFL Futures — Live Markets
NFL Hub →Super Bowl LXI Winner
Top 6 by market price
Los Angeles R win the Super Bowl
Seattle win the Super Bowl
Kansas City win the Super Bowl
Buffalo win the Super Bowl
Baltimore win the Super Bowl
San Francisco win the Super Bowl
NFL MVP 2026
Top 5 candidates
Lamar Jackson win the MVP
Josh Allen win the MVP
Justin Herbert win the MVP
Joe Burrow win the MVP
Patrick Mahomes win the MVP
Live Kalshi prices. Updated every 5 min market hours.
Want alerts when these markets move? Go Pro →
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Sports Analysis
Fade the Field Ep. 7: OROY Value, the 2027 #1 Pick Trade & Why LSU Is the CFB Buy
Four markets, one episode. Jeremiah Love at 27¢ for OROY. Jeremiah Smith at 9¢ for the 2027 #1 pick. LSU at 6¢ to win the natty.
Day 28 Teams, 72 Open Kalshi Markets: The Day 2 Trade Nobody Was Making
Eight franchises skipped Round 1 entirely. Their first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft hit Friday night — and Kalshi's 72 position markets on all of them were sitting at zero.
Live Moves2026 NFL Draft: 10 Biggest Kalshi Swings Before Kickoff
Carnell Tate +39¢ to 57¢ at Pick 13. Rueben Bain Jr. −56¢ at EDGE P3. Ten market leaders flipped between 10:45am and 3pm on draft day.
Kalshi vs Polymarket — Live Sports Price Gaps
Where the two exchanges price the same game differently right now — NBA, MLB, and the 2026 World Cup, with the sportsbook vig shown for reference.
Soccer Prediction Markets — The Hub
The permanent soccer anchor — World Cup now; Champions League, Premier League, and MLS as their markets list.
NFL Prediction Markets — 2026 Season
Game-by-game Gridiron Edge analysis vs. live market prices. Launching August 2026.