Sports Prediction Markets
NFL, NBA, MLB, soccer, golf and more — live implied probabilities across Kalshi and Polymarket.
BAL
+1.2
IND
+0.0
ARI
-3.7
LAC
-0.6
GB
+3.0
MIN
-2.6
NFL Futures — Live Markets
NFL Hub →Super Bowl LXI Winner
Top 6 by market price
Los Angeles R win the Super Bowl
Buffalo win the Super Bowl
Seattle win the Super Bowl
Baltimore win the Super Bowl
Denver win the Super Bowl
Kansas City win the Super Bowl
NFL MVP 2026
Top 5 candidates
Josh Allen win the MVP
Joe Burrow win the MVP
Lamar Jackson win the MVP
Justin Herbert win the MVP
Drake Maye win the MVP
Live Kalshi prices. Updated every 5 min market hours.
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Live on Kalshi — Sports
All Kalshi markets →Updated every 5 min. Live NFL, NBA, MLB and more on the CFTC-regulated exchange.
MMA — next PFL card
🏟️ Sports Spotlight
Featured markets & analysisWorld Cup 2026 Markets
48 teams, 104 matches. Live winner odds + match-of-day mispricings on Kalshi and Polymarket.
Explore WC2026 →Fade the Field — Live Show
Weekly prediction-market show. Sports, futures, longshots, board game — all the trades the market is sleeping on.
Watch latest →NFL Power Rankings & Edges
Our power rating (PWR) vs. live Kalshi futures — game-by-game edges, season win totals, and Super Bowl winner contracts.
View Hub →Sports on Kalshi
NFL futures, NBA, soccer, golf — every active prediction-market contract on the CFTC-regulated exchange. Live prices and 24h volume.
Browse markets →Latest Video
Big Brother 28: Barrett is going to win this whole thing -- here's how
2026-09-04
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Sports Analysis
Fade the Field Ep. 7: OROY Value, the 2027 #1 Pick Trade & Why LSU Is the CFB Buy
Four markets, one episode. Jeremiah Love at 27¢ for OROY. Jeremiah Smith at 9¢ for the 2027 #1 pick. LSU at 6¢ to win the natty.
Day 28 Teams, 72 Open Kalshi Markets: The Day 2 Trade Nobody Was Making
Eight franchises skipped Round 1 entirely. Their first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft hit Friday night — and Kalshi's 72 position markets on all of them were sitting at zero.
Live Moves2026 NFL Draft: 10 Biggest Kalshi Swings Before Kickoff
Carnell Tate +39¢ to 57¢ at Pick 13. Rueben Bain Jr. −56¢ at EDGE P3. Ten market leaders flipped between 10:45am and 3pm on draft day.
Kalshi vs Polymarket — Live Sports Price Gaps
Where the two exchanges price the same game differently right now — NBA, MLB, and more, with the reference vig shown alongside.
Soccer Prediction Markets — The Hub
The permanent soccer anchor — the World Cup 2026 recap plus Champions League, Premier League, and MLS as their markets list.
NFL Prediction Markets — 2026 Season
Game-by-game Gridiron Edge analysis vs. live market prices — Week 1 model lines are live now, plus power rankings, futures and win totals for all 32 teams.
MMA Prediction Markets — PFL
The PFL World Tournament “Road to $1M,” every card's tale of the tape, and market edges as contracts list.
Frequently Asked Questions
What sports can you trade on prediction markets?
On CFTC-regulated exchanges like Kalshi you can take positions on NFL, NBA, MLB, soccer, golf, and MMA — game winners, season win totals, championship and MVP futures, and player milestones. Coverage grows each season as new event contracts list.
Kalshi vs Polymarket for sports — which is better?
Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US exchange, so US traders route there and it carries the deepest sports contract slate. Polymarket prices many of the same games and has been open to US traders since December 2025 (identity verification required, availability varies by state). When both list the same game, our Kalshi vs Polymarket gap tool shows where the two exchanges disagree.
Are NFL prediction markets legal in the US?
Yes. NFL event contracts are CFTC-regulated derivatives that trade on federally regulated venues — Kalshi, plus DraftKings Predict, FanDuel Predicts, and Robinhood via their listing partners. As federally regulated contracts they are available in all 50 states, legally distinct from state-licensed sports betting.
How does the Gridiron Edge model find NFL market edges?
It projects every team and game, converts those projections to win probabilities, and compares them against live Kalshi prices. Where the model and the market disagree by enough, that gap is the edge. In a walk-forward backtest with no market line among the inputs, the model runs at 59.6% straight-up accuracy, rising to 71.5% on its highest-conviction games.