2026 NFL Draft — Prediction Market Command Center
We track where prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are priced vs. where DraftKings has the implied probability — and when those numbers diverge, that's a signal.
2026 NFL Draft
Draft starts in
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The 7 Oracles — 2026 NFL Draft Preview
Thursday, April 23 at 8:00 PM ET | Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh
Oracle Draft Intel
No rumors ingested yet — checking sources every 2 hours.
Market Tracker
DAILY· last 109h ago
#1 Overall Pick
| Player | Kalshi | DraftKings | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Mendoza | 99% (-9900) | -20000 (100%) | — |
#2 Overall Pick
| Player | Kalshi | DraftKings | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arvell Reese | 60% (-150) | -195 (66%) | -6pp |
| David Bailey | 41% (+144) | +140 (42%) | — |
| Sonny Styles | 1% (+9900) | +4500 (2%) | — |
#3 Overall Pick
| Player | Kalshi | DraftKings | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Bailey | 42% (+138) | +125 (44%) | — |
| Arvell Reese | 29% (+245) | +180 (36%) | -7pp |
| Jeremiyah Love | 14% (+614) | +500 (17%) | — |
| Francis Mauigoa | 10% (+900) | +700 (13%) | — |
| Sonny Styles | 4% (+2400) | +1600 (6%) | — |
| Ty Simpson | 4% (+2400) | +2000 (5%) | — |
| Spencer Fano | 4% (+2400) | +3000 (3%) | — |
| Carnell Tate | 3% (+3233) | — | — |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | 2% (+4900) | +2200 (4%) | — |
| Caleb Downs | 2% (+4900) | — | — |
| Monroe Freeling | — | +4000 (2%) | — |
#4 Overall Pick
| Player | Kalshi | DraftKings | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiyah Love | 51% (-104) | -135 (57%) | -6pp |
| David Bailey | 15% (+567) | +550 (15%) | — |
| Jordyn Tyson | 13% (+669) | +2500 (4%) | +9pp |
| Sonny Styles | 12% (+733) | +600 (14%) | — |
| Arvell Reese | 6% (+1567) | +900 (10%) | -4pp |
| Carnell Tate | 5% (+1900) | +1300 (7%) | — |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | 3% (+3233) | +1600 (6%) | — |
| Francis Mauigoa | 3% (+3233) | +2800 (3%) | — |
| Caleb Downs | 2% (+4900) | +3500 (3%) | — |
| Spencer Fano | 2% (+4900) | — | — |
| Keldric Faulk | 2% (+4900) | — | — |
| Mansoor Delane | 2% (+4900) | — | — |
#5 Overall Pick
| Player | Kalshi | DraftKings | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Styles | 36% (+178) | +150 (40%) | -4pp |
| Caleb Downs | 21% (+376) | +400 (20%) | — |
| Jeremiyah Love | 19% (+426) | +500 (17%) | — |
| Jordyn Tyson | 15% (+567) | +700 (13%) | — |
| Francis Mauigoa | 9% (+1011) | +500 (17%) | -8pp |
| Carnell Tate | 7% (+1329) | +1400 (7%) | — |
| David Bailey | 3% (+3233) | — | — |
| Arvell Reese | 3% (+3233) | — | — |
| Spencer Fano | 2% (+4900) | +1900 (5%) | -3pp |
| Mansoor Delane | 2% (+4900) | +2500 (4%) | — |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | 2% (+4900) | +3500 (3%) | — |
| Olaivavega Ioane | 2% (+4900) | — | — |
#6 Overall Pick
| Player | Kalshi | DraftKings | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carnell Tate | 26% (+285) | +260 (28%) | — |
| Spencer Fano | 16% (+525) | +450 (18%) | — |
| Sonny Styles | 14% (+614) | +450 (18%) | -4pp |
| Monroe Freeling | 10% (+900) | +800 (11%) | — |
| Francis Mauigoa | 9% (+1011) | +550 (15%) | -6pp |
| Jordyn Tyson | 7% (+1329) | +800 (11%) | -4pp |
| Caleb Downs | 7% (+1329) | +1200 (8%) | — |
| Kadyn Proctor | 7% (+1329) | +1500 (6%) | — |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | 5% (+1900) | +1500 (6%) | — |
| Jeremiyah Love | 4% (+2400) | +2500 (4%) | — |
| David Bailey | 4% (+2400) | +2500 (4%) | — |
| Mansoor Delane | 4% (+2400) | +2800 (3%) | — |
#7 Overall Pick
| Player | Kalshi | DraftKings | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carnell Tate | 22% (+355) | +380 (21%) | — |
| Sonny Styles | 20% (+400) | +425 (19%) | — |
| Jeremiyah Love | 17% (+488) | +275 (27%) | -10pp |
| Caleb Downs | 13% (+669) | +850 (11%) | — |
| Jordyn Tyson | 9% (+1011) | +550 (15%) | -6pp |
| Mansoor Delane | 9% (+1011) | +650 (13%) | -4pp |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | 6% (+1567) | +800 (11%) | -5pp |
| Francis Mauigoa | 4% (+2400) | +2000 (5%) | — |
| David Bailey | 4% (+2400) | +3000 (3%) | — |
| Olaivavega Ioane | 3% (+3233) | +3500 (3%) | — |
| Dillon Thieneman | 3% (+3233) | — | — |
| Jermod McCoy | — | +2500 (4%) | — |
#8 Overall Pick
| Player | Kalshi | DraftKings | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordyn Tyson | 31% (+223) | +220 (31%) | — |
| Sonny Styles | 27% (+270) | +1800 (5%) | +22pp |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | 19% (+426) | +500 (17%) | — |
| Mansoor Delane | 18% (+456) | +400 (20%) | — |
| Carnell Tate | 14% (+614) | +400 (20%) | -6pp |
| Kayden McDonald | 13% (+669) | — | — |
| Keldric Faulk | 11% (+809) | — | — |
| Jermod McCoy | 7% (+1329) | +2500 (4%) | +3pp |
| Caleb Downs | 6% (+1567) | +1600 (6%) | — |
| Francis Mauigoa | 5% (+1900) | +1400 (7%) | — |
| Kenyon Sadiq | 5% (+1900) | +2500 (4%) | — |
| Olaivavega Ioane | 5% (+1900) | +4000 (2%) | — |
#9 Overall Pick
| Player | Kalshi | DraftKings | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kadyn Proctor | 25% (+300) | +2200 (4%) | +21pp |
| Mansoor Delane | 18% (+456) | +450 (18%) | — |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | 14% (+614) | +370 (21%) | -7pp |
| David Bailey | 13% (+669) | — | — |
| Spencer Fano | 11% (+809) | +500 (17%) | -6pp |
| Jordyn Tyson | 10% (+900) | +450 (18%) | -8pp |
| Francis Mauigoa | 10% (+900) | +900 (10%) | — |
| Caleb Downs | 9% (+1011) | +1100 (8%) | — |
| Carnell Tate | 7% (+1329) | +900 (10%) | -3pp |
| Dillon Thieneman | 5% (+1900) | — | — |
| Kenyon Sadiq | 4% (+2400) | +1200 (8%) | -4pp |
| Makai Lemon | 4% (+2400) | +1800 (5%) | — |
#10 Overall Pick
| Player | Kalshi | DraftKings | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Downs | 66% (-194) | +280 (26%) | +40pp |
| Peter Woods | 24% (+317) | — | — |
| Jordyn Tyson | 23% (+335) | +400 (20%) | +3pp |
| Olaivavega Ioane | 16% (+525) | +800 (11%) | +5pp |
| Francis Mauigoa | 11% (+809) | +550 (15%) | -4pp |
| Mansoor Delane | 9% (+1011) | +1000 (9%) | — |
| Spencer Fano | 5% (+1900) | +850 (11%) | -6pp |
| Omar Cooper | 5% (+1900) | — | — |
| Sonny Styles | 4% (+2400) | +1000 (9%) | -5pp |
| Makai Lemon | 4% (+2400) | +1600 (6%) | — |
| Monroe Freeling | 4% (+2400) | +1600 (6%) | — |
| Carnell Tate | 4% (+2400) | +1600 (6%) | — |
#11 Overall Pick
| Player | DraftKings |
|---|---|
| Mansoor Delane | +425 (19%) |
| Spencer Fano | +500 (17%) |
| Francis Mauigoa | +550 (15%) |
| Makai Lemon | +650 (13%) |
| Jordyn Tyson | +650 (13%) |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | +900 (10%) |
| Caleb Downs | +1000 (9%) |
| Monroe Freeling | +1500 (6%) |
| Jermod McCoy | +1700 (6%) |
| Kadyn Proctor | +1700 (6%) |
| Olaivavega Ioane | +1800 (5%) |
| Carnell Tate | +1800 (5%) |
#12 Overall Pick
| Player | DraftKings |
|---|---|
| Mansoor Delane | +600 (14%) |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | +650 (13%) |
| Caleb Downs | +850 (11%) |
| Kadyn Proctor | +1000 (9%) |
| Spencer Fano | +1000 (9%) |
| Francis Mauigoa | +1100 (8%) |
| Jordyn Tyson | +1100 (8%) |
| Jermod McCoy | +1100 (8%) |
| Dillon Thieneman | +1100 (8%) |
| Keldric Faulk | +1400 (7%) |
| Monroe Freeling | +1600 (6%) |
| Makai Lemon | +1600 (6%) |
#13 Overall Pick
| Player | DraftKings |
|---|---|
| Makai Lemon | +250 (29%) |
| Jordyn Tyson | +600 (14%) |
| Kenyon Sadiq | +600 (14%) |
| Monroe Freeling | +950 (10%) |
| Spencer Fano | +1100 (8%) |
| Francis Mauigoa | +1100 (8%) |
| Omar Cooper Jr. | +1200 (8%) |
| Olaivavega Ioane | +1400 (7%) |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | +1400 (7%) |
| Ty Simpson | +1500 (6%) |
| Kadyn Proctor | +2000 (5%) |
| Jermod McCoy | +2000 (5%) |
#14 Overall Pick
| Player | DraftKings |
|---|---|
| Olaivavega Ioane | +280 (26%) |
| Kenyon Sadiq | +350 (22%) |
| Spencer Fano | +500 (17%) |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | +750 (12%) |
| Makai Lemon | +1100 (8%) |
| Jermod McCoy | +1200 (8%) |
| Jordyn Tyson | +1200 (8%) |
| Kadyn Proctor | +1400 (7%) |
| Monroe Freeling | +1600 (6%) |
| Francis Mauigoa | +1600 (6%) |
| Omar Cooper Jr. | +2000 (5%) |
| Mansoor Delane | +2200 (4%) |
#15 Overall Pick
| Player | DraftKings |
|---|---|
| Kenyon Sadiq | +300 (25%) |
| Monroe Freeling | +750 (12%) |
| Keldric Faulk | +750 (12%) |
| Akheem Mesidor | +750 (12%) |
| Jermod McCoy | +800 (11%) |
| Olaivavega Ioane | +850 (11%) |
| Spencer Fano | +1000 (9%) |
| Kadyn Proctor | +1500 (6%) |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | +1800 (5%) |
| Malachi Lawrence | +2000 (5%) |
| CJ Allen | +2000 (5%) |
| Mansoor Delane | +2200 (4%) |
First WR Drafted
| Player | Kalshi | DraftKings | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carnell Tate | 64% (-178) | -500 (83%) | -19pp |
| Jordyn Tyson | 42% (+138) | +330 (23%) | +19pp |
| Makai Lemon | 10% (+900) | +750 (12%) | — |
| KC Concepcion | 4% (+2400) | +6500 (2%) | — |
First RB Drafted
| Player | Kalshi |
|---|---|
| Jeremiyah Love | 98% (-4900) |
First OL Drafted
| Player | DraftKings |
|---|---|
| Francis Mauigoa | -250 (71%) |
| Spencer Fano | +250 (29%) |
| Monroe Freeling | +1100 (8%) |
| Kadyn Proctor | +1400 (7%) |
| Olaivavega Ioane | +2200 (4%) |
First CB Drafted
| Player | DraftKings |
|---|---|
| Mansoor Delane | -330 (77%) |
| Jermod McCoy | +250 (29%) |
| Chris Johnson | +4000 (2%) |
Second QB Drafted
| Player | Kalshi | DraftKings | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Simpson | 95% (-1900) | -2500 (96%) | — |
| Haynes King | 90% (-900) | — | — |
| Taylen Green | 12% (+733) | +2200 (4%) | +8pp |
| Cade Klubnik | 10% (+900) | — | — |
| Cole Payton | 8% (+1150) | — | — |
| Garrett Nussmeier | 3% (+3233) | +1600 (6%) | — |
| Carson Beck | 1% (+9900) | +2200 (4%) | -3pp |
Second Safety Drafted
| Player | DraftKings |
|---|---|
| Dillon Thieneman | -330 (77%) |
| Emmanuel McNeil-Warren | +280 (26%) |
| Caleb Downs | +1400 (7%) |
Top 10 Draft Pick
| Player | Kalshi |
|---|---|
| Arvell Reese | 99% (-9900) |
| Fernando Mendoza | 99% (-9900) |
| David Bailey | 97% (-3233) |
| Jeremiyah Love | 96% (-2400) |
| Sonny Styles | 95% (-1900) |
| Carnell Tate | 93% (-1329) |
| Jordyn Tyson | 78% (-355) |
| Caleb Downs | 76% (-317) |
| Francis Mauigoa | 70% (-233) |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | 57% (-133) |
#1 Overall Pick— Fernando Mendoza (99% (-9900))
Fernando Mendoza
#2 Overall Pick— Arvell Reese (60% (-150))
#3 Overall Pick— David Bailey (42% (+138))
David Bailey
Arvell Reese
29% (+245)-7pp
Jeremiyah Love
Francis Mauigoa
Sonny Styles
Ty Simpson
Spencer Fano
Carnell Tate
Rueben Bain Jr.
Caleb Downs
Monroe Freeling
#4 Overall Pick— Jeremiyah Love (51% (-104))
Jeremiyah Love
51% (-104)-6pp
David Bailey
Jordyn Tyson
13% (+669)+9pp
Sonny Styles
Arvell Reese
6% (+1567)-4pp
Carnell Tate
Rueben Bain Jr.
Francis Mauigoa
Caleb Downs
Spencer Fano
Keldric Faulk
Mansoor Delane
#5 Overall Pick— Sonny Styles (36% (+178))
Sonny Styles
36% (+178)-4pp
Caleb Downs
Jeremiyah Love
Jordyn Tyson
Francis Mauigoa
9% (+1011)-8pp
Carnell Tate
David Bailey
Arvell Reese
Spencer Fano
2% (+4900)-3pp
Mansoor Delane
Rueben Bain Jr.
Olaivavega Ioane
#6 Overall Pick— Carnell Tate (26% (+285))
Carnell Tate
Spencer Fano
Sonny Styles
14% (+614)-4pp
Monroe Freeling
Francis Mauigoa
9% (+1011)-6pp
Jordyn Tyson
7% (+1329)-4pp
Caleb Downs
Kadyn Proctor
Rueben Bain Jr.
Jeremiyah Love
David Bailey
Mansoor Delane
#7 Overall Pick— Carnell Tate (22% (+355))
Carnell Tate
Sonny Styles
Jeremiyah Love
17% (+488)-10pp
Caleb Downs
Jordyn Tyson
9% (+1011)-6pp
Mansoor Delane
9% (+1011)-4pp
Rueben Bain Jr.
6% (+1567)-5pp
Francis Mauigoa
David Bailey
Olaivavega Ioane
Dillon Thieneman
Jermod McCoy
#8 Overall Pick— Jordyn Tyson (31% (+223))
Jordyn Tyson
Sonny Styles
27% (+270)+22pp
Rueben Bain Jr.
Mansoor Delane
Carnell Tate
14% (+614)-6pp
Kayden McDonald
Keldric Faulk
Jermod McCoy
7% (+1329)+3pp
Caleb Downs
Francis Mauigoa
Kenyon Sadiq
Olaivavega Ioane
#9 Overall Pick— Kadyn Proctor (25% (+300))
Kadyn Proctor
25% (+300)+21pp
Mansoor Delane
Rueben Bain Jr.
14% (+614)-7pp
David Bailey
Spencer Fano
11% (+809)-6pp
Jordyn Tyson
10% (+900)-8pp
Francis Mauigoa
Caleb Downs
Carnell Tate
7% (+1329)-3pp
Dillon Thieneman
Kenyon Sadiq
4% (+2400)-4pp
Makai Lemon
#10 Overall Pick— Caleb Downs (66% (-194))
Caleb Downs
66% (-194)+40pp
Peter Woods
Jordyn Tyson
23% (+335)+3pp
Olaivavega Ioane
16% (+525)+5pp
Francis Mauigoa
11% (+809)-4pp
Mansoor Delane
Spencer Fano
5% (+1900)-6pp
Omar Cooper
Sonny Styles
4% (+2400)-5pp
Makai Lemon
Monroe Freeling
Carnell Tate
#11 Overall Pick— Mansoor Delane (+425 (19%))
Mansoor Delane
Spencer Fano
Francis Mauigoa
Makai Lemon
Jordyn Tyson
Rueben Bain Jr.
Caleb Downs
Monroe Freeling
Jermod McCoy
Kadyn Proctor
Olaivavega Ioane
Carnell Tate
#12 Overall Pick— Mansoor Delane (+600 (14%))
Mansoor Delane
Rueben Bain Jr.
Caleb Downs
Kadyn Proctor
Spencer Fano
Francis Mauigoa
Jordyn Tyson
Jermod McCoy
Dillon Thieneman
Keldric Faulk
Monroe Freeling
Makai Lemon
#13 Overall Pick— Makai Lemon (+250 (29%))
Makai Lemon
Jordyn Tyson
Kenyon Sadiq
Monroe Freeling
Spencer Fano
Francis Mauigoa
Omar Cooper Jr.
Olaivavega Ioane
Rueben Bain Jr.
Ty Simpson
Kadyn Proctor
Jermod McCoy
#14 Overall Pick— Olaivavega Ioane (+280 (26%))
Olaivavega Ioane
Kenyon Sadiq
Spencer Fano
Rueben Bain Jr.
Makai Lemon
Jermod McCoy
Jordyn Tyson
Kadyn Proctor
Monroe Freeling
Francis Mauigoa
Omar Cooper Jr.
Mansoor Delane
#15 Overall Pick— Kenyon Sadiq (+300 (25%))
Kenyon Sadiq
Monroe Freeling
Keldric Faulk
Akheem Mesidor
Jermod McCoy
Olaivavega Ioane
Spencer Fano
Kadyn Proctor
Rueben Bain Jr.
Malachi Lawrence
CJ Allen
Mansoor Delane
First WR Drafted— Carnell Tate (64% (-178))
First RB Drafted— Jeremiyah Love (98% (-4900))
Jeremiyah Love
First OL Drafted— Francis Mauigoa (-250 (71%))
Francis Mauigoa
Spencer Fano
Monroe Freeling
Kadyn Proctor
Olaivavega Ioane
First CB Drafted— Mansoor Delane (-330 (77%))
Second QB Drafted— Ty Simpson (95% (-1900))
Ty Simpson
Haynes King
Taylen Green
12% (+733)+8pp
Cade Klubnik
Cole Payton
Garrett Nussmeier
Carson Beck
1% (+9900)-3pp
Second Safety Drafted— Dillon Thieneman (-330 (77%))
Top 10 Draft Pick— Arvell Reese (99% (-9900))
Arvell Reese
Fernando Mendoza
David Bailey
Jeremiyah Love
Sonny Styles
Carnell Tate
Jordyn Tyson
Caleb Downs
Francis Mauigoa
Rueben Bain Jr.
Edge= Kalshi implied % − other book's implied %. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the outcome higher than the other book. Only shown when the gap is ≥ 3pp.
Mock Draft Consensus
Top 10 picks — Kiper, McShay, Jeremiah, Brugler. Updated morning of April 23.
| Pick | Team | Consensus | Kiper | McShay | Jeremiah | Brugler | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | LV | Fernando Mendoza QB · Indiana | Fernando Mendoza | Fernando Mendoza | Fernando Mendoza | Fernando Mendoza | 99% |
| #2 | NYJ | David Bailey EDGE · Texas Tech | David Bailey | David Bailey | Arvell Reese | Arvell Reese | 41% |
| #3 | ARI | Arvell Reese LB · Ohio State | Arvell Reese | Arvell Reese | Francis Mauigoa | Francis Mauigoa | 33% |
| #4 | TEN | Jeremiyah Love RB · Notre Dame | Jeremiyah Love | Jeremiyah Love | Jeremiyah Love | David Bailey | 53% |
| #5 | NYG | Sonny Styles S/LB · Ohio State | Sonny Styles | Francis Mauigoa | Sonny Styles | Caleb Downs | 35% |
| #6 | CLE | Carnell Tate WR · Ohio State | Carnell Tate | Sonny Styles | Carnell Tate | Sonny Styles | 30% |
| #7 | WAS | Francis Mauigoa OL · Texas A&M | Francis Mauigoa | Carnell Tate | Rueben Bain Jr. | Jeremiyah Love | — |
| #8 | NO | Caleb Downs S · Ohio State | Caleb Downs | Spencer Fano | David Bailey | Carnell Tate | — |
| #9 | KC | Jordyn Tyson WR · Arizona State | Jordyn Tyson | Jordyn Tyson | Spencer Fano | Rueben Bain Jr. | — |
| #10 | CIN | Caleb Downs CB · LSU | Mansoor Delane | Caleb Downs | Caleb Downs | Mansoor Delane | — |
#1LV
99%Fernando Mendoza
QB · Indiana
#2NYJ
41%David Bailey
EDGE · Texas Tech
Experts disagree — check desktop view for details
#3ARI
33%Arvell Reese
LB · Ohio State
Experts disagree — check desktop view for details
#4TEN
53%Jeremiyah Love
RB · Notre Dame
Experts disagree — check desktop view for details
#5NYG
35%Sonny Styles
S/LB · Ohio State
Experts disagree — check desktop view for details
#6CLE
30%Carnell Tate
WR · Ohio State
Experts disagree — check desktop view for details
#7WAS
Francis Mauigoa
OL · Texas A&M
Experts disagree — check desktop view for details
#8NO
Caleb Downs
S · Ohio State
Experts disagree — check desktop view for details
#9KC
Jordyn Tyson
WR · Arizona State
Experts disagree — check desktop view for details
#10CIN
Caleb Downs
CB · LSU
Experts disagree — check desktop view for details
Live Pick Tracker
Pick tracker goes live April 23, 8 PM ET