Will there be more than 16 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

How this settles

Resolves YES if the number of named storms in the specified basin (Central Pacific: more than 7; Eastern Pacific: more than 26) is confirmed by the National Weather Service during the May 15–December 1 season.

• Strictly greater than threshold, not equal — Hitting exactly the threshold (7 for Central Pacific, 26 for Eastern Pacific) resolves NO — the count must exceed it, so a trader long on YES needs one more storm than the threshold number.
• NWS 'or equivalent' source is ambiguous — The rules allow an unspecified 'equivalent national weather service,' meaning a count from a non-NWS body (e.g., JTWC or a foreign agency) could be used if NWS data is unavailable or disputed, potentially affecting the final confirmed count.
• Season boundary is May 15–Dec 1, not calendar year — Storms named before May 15 or on/after December 1 do not count, so early-season or late-season storms near those cutoffs could be excluded and affect whether the threshold is crossed.
• Central Pacific and Eastern Pacific are separate contracts — These are two distinct variants with different basins and different thresholds; a trader must confirm they are positioned in the correct basin's contract, as storm counts are not interchangeable between the two.

These are the rules for the whole series — every contract in it settles the same way. Full KXNAMEDSTORM settlement rules →