Balance of Power 2026 — Congress Control Odds

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The payload is refreshed every 5 minutes by a Supabase edge function. The widget itself is cached at the edge for 10 minutes (free) or 5 minutes (Pro), so visitors see near-live data without hammering origin.

What data powers the widget?

Balance-of-power card for the 2026 US midterms — which party controls the House and Senate after January 2027 — sourced from Kalshi (US-regulated, CFTC-licensed) and Polymarket control markets. Ranks every control scenario by market-implied probability in cents with the leading scenario as the hero number. House and Senate control in one embeddable card. Updated every 5 minutes during US market hours.

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