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KalshiMacro & economics

Will above 90000 jobs be added in September 2026?

47c

YES · 47% implied

4K

contracts 24h

3K

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the BLS Monthly Employment Situation Report shows total non-farm payroll employment increased by more than 90,000 in September 2026.

  • Initial release vs. subsequent revisionsThe BLS revises payroll figures in later reports; the rules don't specify whether the first (advance) print or a revised print is used, which could flip the outcome if the initial number is near the 90,000 threshold.
  • Strict 'above' threshold — 90,000 does not qualifyThe rules use 'above 90,000,' meaning an exact print of 90,000 resolves NO; traders positioned near the boundary must account for this strict inequality.
  • September 2026 report release timingThe September 2026 Employment Situation is typically released in early October 2026, so the contract will not settle in September itself, affecting how long capital is tied up.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXPAYROLLS settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

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