Will above -25000 jobs be added in September 2026?

How this settles

Resolves YES if the BLS Monthly Employment Situation Report shows total non-farm payroll employment change for September 2026 is strictly greater than -25,000 (i.e., job losses are fewer than 25,000, or any positive number of jobs are added).

• Threshold is -25,000, not zero — YES doesn't require job *gains* — even a loss of, say, -10,000 jobs resolves YES, since -10,000 > -25,000; traders focused on 'jobs added' framing may misjudge the true threshold.
• Initial release vs. subsequent revisions — The rules say 'as reported by' the BLS but don't specify which print (advance, first revision, or second revision), so it's ambiguous whether a later revision that crosses -25,000 would flip resolution.
• Strict inequality — exactly -25,000 resolves NO — The rule uses 'above -25,000,' meaning a print of exactly -25,000 does not satisfy the condition and resolves NO.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXPAYROLLS settlement rules →