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KalshiMacro & economics

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.8% in November?

2c

YES · 2% implied

764

contracts 24h

623

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the seasonally adjusted BLS CPI for All Urban Consumers: All Items Less Food and Energy (Core CPI) for November 2026 shows a month-over-month increase strictly greater than 0.8%.

  • Strict 'above 0.8%' — exact 0.8% losesThe threshold is strictly above 0.8%, so a print of exactly 0.8% resolves NO, meaning a long position needs the number to exceed, not merely match, the threshold.
  • Seasonally adjusted series onlyThe rules specify the seasonally adjusted figure; the unadjusted Core CPI print (which can differ meaningfully) is irrelevant for resolution, so traders must track the correct series.
  • BLS revisions may change the printThe rules say 'as published by the BLS' without specifying the initial release vs. subsequent revisions, so a later revision that moves the figure across the 0.8% boundary could alter resolution.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXCPICORE settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

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