World Cup 2026: How far can Cape Verde go after the Spain draw?
June 15, 2026 · 3:31 · The 7 Oracles · Benny Ricciardi, Nando Di Fino, Dane Martinez
About this video
Cape Verde pulled off one of the more memorable World Cup draws in the tournament's storied history -- tying Spain, the team favored to win the entire thing, in their first round game. Prediction markets like Kalshi immedizately saw odds changes as the march drew to a close. How far can Cape Verde go now? The 7 Oracles dig into the numbers Check out more at The7Oracles.com In this video: Gene Clemons Nando Di Fino Dane Martinez Benny Ricciardi
Full transcript
I am a Cape Verde fan for life right now. We definitely gotta go and visit. We got to get some jerseys. Yo, check out I just put this up on the screen. Uh the Cape Ver, this is today. This is just today. The Cape Verd stage of elimination completely flipped like the group stage is you know 30 round of 32 they'll get eliminated and jumped to 40%. So now Cape Verde according to Kowi if you consider it a prediction market you know and they tell the future um the Cape Verde is I would say looking at these numbers expected to make it that's how big that point against Spain was because nobody everybody just put down that that as a zero and then did the math there when you add a point to that and take it away from Spain as well too. Spain has work to do now too. I mean, listen, Uruguay, you know, they're not as good as they have been, but that's a country that's always solid. Like, if they lose that game, they're in a rough spot there, too. And, you know, they were talking about it on the broadcast, too. What happens if Spain now comes in second in that group? You're going to have some funky matchups. Yeah. in the in the round of 16 where you know rather than a cakewalk or an easy game against a you know nation that's barely top 25 you know you might have to get there by going through two or three top 10 teams to get to the uh to get to the finals which is something that a lot of people expected Spain to do before this started all we're on the edge of the uh the bit we're on the edge of the Bitcoin edge two o'clock uh it's going to flip 3 o'clock market in a minute I'll keep refreshing as we go along here um started started a start of the um 3:00 March if you you know. Um, but yeah, I and and again, I I agree with you guys with saying they did what they what they were supposed to do. My only my only thing is that the way they got the clean the way they got the the the draw, it falls apart if only one goal goes in. Sure. That's how fragile it is. And so, like, they would have to they would have to put up clean sheets versus everybody. And I ju and and and if that happens, it's going to be zero zero. They're they're they're not a really talented scoring side. They're they're probably not going to make the make it because they won't have enough in the point differential to get them through as a as the wild card person. They they they'll have zero goals. Like that's the only way they're most likely getting this thing done is is zero goals. I don't even I don't see them like I see them at at at at best drawing Saudi Arabia. I've been I I I think that's a I think that's a draw probably happening. Um I think that um Uruguay will see what h what Spain did and find ways to take advantage of the things that Spain didn't take advantage of. Um they get a and they'll get a they'll get a result there. I don't think that Kate Ver will put a put a goal on the board against Uruguay. They might put one on against Saudi Arabia, but if they do, it'll be 1-1 or one zero. If they get a win, then yeah, we're talking different. I just don't I don't know if I'm seeing a win coming out of this for them. So, I think that I think that Uruguay game is going to go very differently than this game did because I think that their strategy actually worked out really well today because two of the fastest players on Spain's team, the two young guys on the outside, neither one of them started today. So, they had the they had their more technical team out there, and that doesn't really work well when everybody's in the same part of the field and and you don't have any room to operate.
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