How Kalshi settles Gold Weekly price
Rules last read
Settles YES when
The contract resolves YES if the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold, observed at exactly the settlement time on the settlement date, is strictly above the threshold (in USD/t.oz).
4 resolution traps in the KXGOLDW rules
The wording that changes how or when the contract settles — which data source and which print, the exact metric, rounding, date boundaries, void conditions.
Gold Weekly priceThe contract resolves YES if the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold, observed at exactly the settlement time on the settlement date, is strictly above the threshold (in USD/t.oz).4 traps
- Strictly above threshold, not equal — A close price exactly at the threshold resolves NO, since the rule requires 'above' — not 'at or above' — the threshold.
- 1-minute candle close, not spot price — Settlement uses the closing price of a specific 1-minute candlestick, which may differ from the live spot or last-traded price at that moment depending on the data feed.
- Exact timestamp: candle at 5:00 PM EDT — Only the single 1-minute candle opening at (or closing at) 5:00 PM EDT is used; a candle even one minute earlier or later would not qualify, so timezone shifts or daylight-saving ambiguities matter.
- Unspecified data source/exchange — The rules do not name the exchange or data provider for the gold price, leaving open which feed is authoritative if prices diverge across venues at settlement time.
KXGOLDW contracts open now
A contract price in cents is already a probability — 42c is a 42% implied chance. Prices from Kalshi, refreshed periodically; check the exchange before taking a position.
Our record on KXGOLDW
488
graded
303
won
62.0%
win rate
+$36.18
net
Net is a SUM over a flat one-contract stake — +7.4¢ per contract across 488. Full method and every graded position on the track record.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How does Kalshi settle Gold Weekly price markets?
The contract resolves YES if the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold, observed at exactly the settlement time on the settlement date, is strictly above the threshold (in USD/t.oz). That criterion is the whole contract — the headline question is a summary of it, not the rule itself.
What can go wrong when a Gold Weekly price contract resolves?
We flag 4 traps in these rules. The first: Strictly above threshold, not equal — A close price exactly at the threshold resolves NO, since the rule requires 'above' — not 'at or above' — the threshold.
What does the KXGOLDW ticker mean?
KXGOLDW is Kalshi's series ticker for Gold Weekly price. Individual contracts append the event and the strike — so one series carries many contracts, all settling under the same rule. This page covers the rule; the board above lists the contracts open right now.
Do you have a record trading Gold Weekly price?
Yes — 488 graded positions on KXGOLDW: 303 won, 185 lost, +$36.18 net at one contract per signal (+7.4¢ per contract).
This is our reading of Kalshi’s published resolution rules, not a substitute for them — read the contract before taking a position. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice.