Kalshi Weather Edges + Kelly Sizing in One AI Chat

What’s in this video

This Tool Demos video shows how to ask an AI chat assistant, connected via a single PredictionMarketsPicks URL, for Kalshi weather edges. The connector returns the NWS forecast, the market price, the model probability and the edge in points, all within the chat. The host then asks the same assistant to size the trade using quarter Kelly on a $1,000 bankroll, with the calculator chaining directly onto the prior answer. The demo is shown working across Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini and Cursor.

Key points

• A single connector URL (no API key) lets an AI chat pull Kalshi weather market data.
• The assistant compares the NWS forecast against the market price to surface a model-vs-market edge in points.
• A follow-up prompt asks the same chat to size the trade using quarter Kelly sizing on a $1,000 bankroll.
• The sizing calculator chains directly onto the edge answer without restarting the conversation.
• The workflow is demonstrated working in Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini and Cursor.
• The video notes the answers shown are live connector output captured Oct 3, 2026, and that an edge reflects model-vs-market disagreement, not a guarantee.

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