GROUP EMATCHDAY 2

Cote d'Ivoire vs Curacao: World Cup 2026 Prediction

2026-06-17 · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia

10,000 Sim Result

39%Cote d'Ivoire+156
25%Draw+300
36%Curacao+178
Over 2.5: Yes ✓BTTS: No

Top Value Play

Cote d'Ivoire to win

Cote d'Ivoire

Odds+5000
Advance %64.2%
Win title %1.4%

Curacao

Odds+100000
Advance %57.9%
Win title %0.9%

Match Analysis

Cote d'Ivoire and Curacao meet in Group E at the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 2026-06-17 at Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia. This is one of the tighter matches in Group E. The simulation sees these teams as closely matched, with just a 3-point spread. Cote d'Ivoire enters with a 64.2% advancement probability in our model vs Curacao at 57.9%. The Over 2.5 goals is our primary market play. The combined attacking profiles of these sides project to a high-scoring affair. Top value play: Cote d'Ivoire to win.

Prediction markets price these outcomes in real time across Kalshi and Polymarket. Our simulation provides a baseline probability model — when the market diverges by 5+ percentage points from our sim, that's where the edge lives. Convert any market price to implied probability →

For the full methodology behind these projections, see How Our Monte Carlo Simulation Works. All 48-team advancement probabilities are available in the Full Simulation Results.