NFL WEEK 1

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KalshiMacro & economics

Will above 80000 jobs be added in August 2026?

24c

YES · 24% implied

5K

contracts 24h

6K

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the BLS Monthly Employment Situation Report shows total non-farm payroll employment increased by more than 80,000 in August 2026.

  • Initial release vs. later revisionsThe BLS revises payroll figures in subsequent months; the rules don't specify which print (first release or a revision) is used, creating ambiguity if the initial report is near the 80,000 threshold but later revised above or below it.
  • Strictly above 80,000 — not atThe rule says 'above 80,000,' meaning an exact print of 80,000 resolves NO, so positions near the threshold must account for this strict inequality.
  • August 2026 report release timingThe BLS typically releases the August employment situation in early September, so settlement won't occur in August itself — traders should not expect resolution until ~September 4–5, 2026.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXPAYROLLS settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

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