Will above 50000 jobs be added in August 2026?
53c
YES · 53% implied
624
contracts 24h
2K
open interest (contracts)
How this settles
Resolves YES if the BLS Monthly Employment Situation Report shows total non-farm payroll employment increased by more than 50,000 in August 2026.
- Initial release vs. later revisions — The BLS revises payroll figures in subsequent months; the rules don't specify which print (advance, first revision, second revision, or annual benchmark) is used, creating ambiguity if the initial release is below 50K but a revision pushes it above (or vice versa).
- Strict 'above' threshold — 50K not sufficient — The rules use 'above 50,000,' meaning an exact print of +50,000 resolves NO; a trader assuming ≥50,000 would be caught off-side.
- August 2026 report release timing — The August 2026 employment data is typically released in early September 2026, so contract settlement may lag the reference month by weeks, affecting position management and capital lock-up.
Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXPAYROLLS settlement rules →
24h move: +0.0c
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