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KalshiMacro & economics

Will above 70000 jobs be added in August 2026?

33c

YES · 33% implied

7K

contracts 24h

8K

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the BLS Monthly Employment Situation Report shows total non-farm payroll employment increased by more than 70,000 in August 2026.

  • Initial release vs. later revisionsThe BLS revises payroll figures in subsequent months; if the contract settles on the first print but a revision later crosses the 70,000 threshold (or vice versa), traders holding positions based on the final number could be caught off-guard.
  • Strictly above 70,000 — exact print excludedThe rules say 'above 70,000,' meaning an exactly 70,000 print resolves NO, so a position near that boundary carries asymmetric risk.
  • Report release timing vs. settlement dateThe August 2026 Employment Situation is typically released in early September 2026, so the contract likely doesn't settle until that release date, affecting how long capital is tied up.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXPAYROLLS settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

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