Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.7% for the year ending in August 2026?

How this settles

Resolves YES if the BLS-reported CPI 12-month inflation rate for the period ending August 2026, rounded to one decimal place, is strictly greater than 2.7%.

• One-decimal place print, not raw figure — The contract uses the BLS's official one-decimal place figure (e.g., 2.8%), not the unrounded underlying value — a raw rate of 2.749% would round to 2.7% and resolve NO, even though it's nearly 2.75%.
• Strictly above 2.7%, not at or above — A one-decimal place reading of exactly 2.7% resolves NO; the rate must exceed 2.7%, so the threshold is effectively 2.8% or higher on the reported figure.
• Initial release vs. revision — The rules cite the BLS-reported value but don't specify whether it's the initial release or a subsequent revision — traders should monitor which print is used if BLS revises the figure after initial publication.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXCPIYOY settlement rules →