Will above 70000 jobs be added in September 2026?

How this settles

Resolves YES if the month-over-month increase in total non-farm payroll employment reported in the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for August 2026 exceeds the threshold (strictly above, not equal to).

• Strictly above threshold — hitting it exactly resolves NO — The rules use 'above' (not 'at or above'), so a print exactly equal to the threshold (e.g. exactly 30,000 or exactly -25,000) resolves NO, not YES.
• BLS initial release only vs. later revisions — The BLS revises non-farm payroll figures in subsequent months; if the contract settles on the first print rather than a revised figure, a borderline result could flip, and traders need to confirm which print governs.
• Two variants with different thresholds exist in this series — Variant 1 requires the print to exceed a positive threshold while Variant 2 requires it to exceed a negative threshold — traders must confirm which variant their specific contract references, as they have very different probabilities of resolving YES.

These are the rules for the whole series — every contract in it settles the same way. Full KXPAYROLLS settlement rules →