NFL WEEK 1

Model vs. Kalshi on all 16 openers

Week 1 markets live now

FANTASY DRAFT

Free draft desk inside Claude, ChatGPT or Cursor

8 tools · no account

NFL EDGES

Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked

Gridiron Edge · 5-min refresh

COMBO EDGE

Correlation-aware Kalshi combos — free

SILVER EDGE

Options vs. Kalshi on weekly silver brackets

KalshiMacro & economics

Will above 30000 jobs be added in August 2026?

66c

YES · 66% implied

746

contracts 24h

1K

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report shows total non-farm payroll employment increased by more than 30,000 in August 2026.

  • Initial release vs. later revisionsBLS revises payroll figures in subsequent months; the contract likely settles on the first (advance) print, but the rules don't explicitly state which release is used, creating ambiguity if a revision crosses the 30,000 threshold.
  • Strictly above 30,000 — not at or aboveThe rules say 'above 30,000,' meaning an exactly 30,000 print resolves NO, so a position holder near that boundary faces a strict inequality, not ≥.
  • Report release timing vs. settlement dateThe August 2026 jobs report is typically released in early September 2026, so the contract cannot settle in August itself — traders should account for this timing gap.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXPAYROLLS settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

Related Macro & economics Markets

Trade this market on Kalshi

Buy YES or NO directly on Kalshi

Trade on Kalshi →

Compare this market on Polymarket

See if there's a price discrepancy worth trading

Compare on Polymarket →

Get The 7 Oracles' take on this market — subscribe free

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.