Will CPI Core rise more than 1.0% in October?

How this settles

Resolves YES if the seasonally adjusted BLS CPI-U All Items Less Food and Energy (Core CPI) for October 2026 shows a month-over-month increase strictly above 1.0%.

• Month-over-month, not year-over-year — The rules specify an 'increase' of above 1.0% without clarifying the period, but Core CPI is typically reported both MoM and YoY — traders must confirm this is the monthly change, not the annual rate, which would make YES far more likely.
• Strictly above 1.0%, not at or above — A print of exactly 1.0% resolves NO, so positions near that threshold are exposed to rounding at the margin.
• Initial release vs. revised print — The rules say 'as published by the BLS' without specifying whether the first release or a subsequent revision governs, meaning a revision could flip resolution if the initial print is near the threshold.
• Seasonally adjusted series only — The rules explicitly require the seasonally adjusted figure; the BLS also publishes an unadjusted Core CPI, which can differ and would not count for resolution.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXCPICORE settlement rules →