KalshiMacro & economics
Will CPI Core rise more than 1.0% in November?
1c
YES · 1% implied
1
contracts 24h
40
open interest (contracts)
How this settles
Resolves YES if the seasonally adjusted BLS Core CPI (All Urban Consumers, All Items less Food and Energy) for November 2026 shows a month-over-month increase strictly above 1.0%.
- Month-over-month, not year-over-year — The rules measure a single-month change, not the commonly cited 12-month YoY figure — a trader focused on headline annual CPI coverage could easily confuse the two.
- Strictly above 1.0%, not at or above — An exact +1.0% print resolves NO since the threshold requires 'above 1.0%', making the boundary asymmetric and critical near the threshold.
- No revision policy specified — The rules don't clarify whether resolution uses the initial release or a subsequent BLS revision, so a late data revision that crosses the 1.0% threshold could affect the outcome unexpectedly.
Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXCPICORE settlement rules →
24h move: +0.0c
Related Macro & economics Markets
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?
33¢+0.0¢
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in August 2026?
10¢+0.0¢
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?
99¢+0.0¢
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?
1¢+0.0¢
Trade this market on Kalshi
Buy YES or NO directly on Kalshi
Compare this market on Polymarket
See if there's a price discrepancy worth trading
Get The 7 Oracles' take on this market — subscribe free
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.