Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in August 2026?

How this settles

Resolves YES if the BLS-reported 12-month CPI inflation rate for the period ending August 2026 exceeds 3.5%, using the one-decimal-place figure published by the BLS.

• One-decimal-place BLS print is binding — The BLS publishes CPI change to one decimal (e.g., 3.5%), so the contract uses that rounded figure — not the unrounded underlying number — meaning a true rate of 3.54% rounds to 3.5% and does NOT resolve YES, while 3.55% rounds to 3.6% and does.
• Strictly 'above' 3.5%, not at or above — The rules say 'more than 3.5%', so a one-decimal print of exactly 3.5% resolves NO; only a print of 3.6% or higher triggers YES resolution.
• Initial release vs. revision unclear — The rules do not specify whether the first BLS release or a subsequent revision governs; if the BLS revises the figure after initial publication, it is ambiguous which print is used for settlement.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXCPIYOY settlement rules →