Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in August?

How this settles

Resolves YES if the seasonally adjusted BLS CPI-U All Items Less Food and Energy (Core CPI) for August 2026 shows a month-over-month increase strictly greater than 0.1%.

• Seasonally adjusted print only — The rules specify the seasonally adjusted series — the unadjusted (NSA) figure can differ meaningfully and would not be the correct input for resolution.
• Strictly above 0.1%, not 'at least' — A print of exactly +0.1% resolves NO, so traders long YES need the rounded figure to exceed 0.1%, making the 0.10% vs. 0.15% rounding boundary critical.
• BLS rounds to one decimal; unrounded matters — BLS publishes the headline MoM change rounded to one decimal place (e.g., 0.1% or 0.2%), so a true unrounded change of ~0.14% still prints as 0.1% and resolves NO — the resolution hinges on the published rounded figure, not the raw index level change.
• Initial release vs. revised print — The rules cite 'as published by the BLS' without specifying the first release or a subsequent revision; if BLS revises the August figure in a later month, it is ambiguous which print governs settlement.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXCPICORE settlement rules →