Kalshieconomics
US Recession in 2026 (NBER Definition)
Current Price
86¢24h Change
+258.3%Expires In
285d 11hTrade on KalshiPrices updated several times daily
As of April 14, 2026, the prediction market prices us recession in 2026 (nber definition) at 86¢, implying a 86% probability. The price has moved up 258.3% in the last 24 hours. Kalshi is the primary market with $35.7K in 24-hour trading volume.
- Current Price
- 86¢
- Implied Probability
- 86%
- 24h Change
- +258.3%
- 24-Hour Volume
- $35.7K
- Market Close Date
- January 31, 2027
- Primary Platform
- Kalshi
Price History
Market Statistics
Volume 24h
$35.7K
Volume 7d
$0
Open Interest
—
Liquidity
$61.9K
Bid-Ask Spread
—
Last Trade
—
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Oracle's Take
Tracks NBER-defined recession probability for calendar year 2026. NBER typically declares recession 6-18 months after it begins. Source: Kalshi series KXRECSSNBER.
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