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KalshiMacro & economics

Will above 90000 jobs be added in August 2026?

30c

YES · 30% implied

159

contracts 24h

3K

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the BLS Monthly Employment Situation Report shows total non-farm payroll employment increased by more than 90,000 in August 2026.

  • Initial release vs. later revisionsBLS non-farm payroll figures are revised in subsequent months; if the contract settles on the first print (typically released the first Friday of September 2026), later revisions — which can differ significantly — would be irrelevant, but the rules don't explicitly specify which print is used.
  • Strictly above 90,000, not atThe rule says 'above 90,000,' meaning an exact print of 90,000 resolves NO — traders long YES need the number to be at least 90,001.
  • Total non-farm only, not private payrollsThe contract specifies total non-farm payroll (including government jobs), not the private non-farm subset — these two figures frequently diverge and are both reported in the same release.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXPAYROLLS settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

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