NFL WEEK 1

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SILVER EDGE

Options vs. Kalshi on weekly silver brackets

KalshiMacro & economics

Will above 100000 jobs be added in August 2026?

21c

YES · 21% implied

2K

contracts 24h

5K

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Monthly Employment Situation Report shows total non-farm payroll employment increased by more than 100,000 in August 2026.

  • Initial print vs. later revisions usedBLS revises payroll figures in subsequent months; the rules don't specify whether the first release or a revised print triggers resolution, which could flip a borderline outcome.
  • Strictly above 100,000, not at or aboveThe rules say 'above 100000,' meaning an exact print of +100,000 resolves NO — a trader positioned near this threshold must account for the strict inequality.
  • Report release date vs. reference monthThe August 2026 employment data is typically released in early September 2026, so settlement doesn't occur in August itself — timing affects when positions close.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXPAYROLLS settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

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