Will above 100000 jobs be added in August 2026?
21c
YES · 21% implied
2K
contracts 24h
5K
open interest (contracts)
How this settles
Resolves YES if the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Monthly Employment Situation Report shows total non-farm payroll employment increased by more than 100,000 in August 2026.
- Initial print vs. later revisions used — BLS revises payroll figures in subsequent months; the rules don't specify whether the first release or a revised print triggers resolution, which could flip a borderline outcome.
- Strictly above 100,000, not at or above — The rules say 'above 100000,' meaning an exact print of +100,000 resolves NO — a trader positioned near this threshold must account for the strict inequality.
- Report release date vs. reference month — The August 2026 employment data is typically released in early September 2026, so settlement doesn't occur in August itself — timing affects when positions close.
Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXPAYROLLS settlement rules →
24h move: +0.0c
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