Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.6% for the year ending in August 2026?

How this settles

Resolves YES if the BLS-reported CPI 12-month inflation rate for the period ending August 2026 is above 3.6% as shown to one decimal place (i.e., 3.7% or higher).

• One decimal place rounding is decisive — A true inflation rate of, say, 3.64% rounds to 3.6% (resolves NO), while 3.65% rounds to 3.7% (resolves YES), so the rounding rule creates a narrow but critical boundary right at the threshold.
• BLS initial print used, not revisions — The rules reference the value 'reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics' without specifying initial vs. revised release; if a later revision changes the one-decimal figure, it's unclear which print governs, but the most natural reading is the first published figure.
• August 2026 CPI specifically, not prior months — The contract keys on the twelve months ending August 2026 exclusively — strong or weak July/September prints are irrelevant and could mislead traders tracking trailing monthly data.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXCPIYOY settlement rules →