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KalshiMacro & economics

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

20c

YES · 20% implied

100

contracts 24h

2K

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the federal funds rate upper bound published on the Fed's official website is strictly greater than 4.00% after the April 28, 2027 FOMC meeting.

  • Strictly greater than, not at or above 4.00%A rate of exactly 4.00% resolves NO — only a rate of 4.25% or higher (given standard 25 bps increments) resolves YES, so positions near the 4.00% boundary carry asymmetric risk.
  • Single specific meeting date, not year-endThe contract locks in the rate as of the April 28, 2027 meeting only — any subsequent May or June 2027 rate changes are irrelevant, so traders must track FOMC meeting scheduling changes or cancellations carefully.
  • Official Fed website as sole data sourceOnly the rate as published on the Federal Reserve's official website counts — CME, Bloomberg, or other data vendors may show different or delayed figures and cannot be used to confirm resolution.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXFED settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

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