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KalshiWeather & climate

Will the maximum temperature be <85° on Aug 18, 2026?

1c

YES · 1% implied

41K

contracts 24h

23K

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the maximum daily temperature recorded at New York City station CLINYC by The Weather Company meets the contract's specified condition (between a range, strictly above, or strictly below the threshold) on the settlement date.

  • Inclusive range vs. strict inequality per variantThe 'between 84–85°F' variant is inclusive of both endpoints, while the '>92°F' variant is strictly greater than (hitting exactly 92°F resolves NO), and the '<84°F' variant is strictly less than (hitting exactly 84°F resolves NO) — the comparison operator differs across contracts in this series.
  • CLINYC station, not a general NYC readingResolution uses The Weather Company's CLINYC station specifically; readings from nearby NWS stations, airports (e.g. KLGA, KJFK), or other providers may differ and are irrelevant to settlement.
  • Maximum daily temp, not average or closingOnly the single highest temperature recorded across the full calendar day at CLINYC counts; intraday averages or end-of-day figures will not match if the daily peak spikes briefly.
  • No revision policy statedThe rules name The Weather Company as the sole source but do not specify whether the initial reading or a later corrected/revised figure governs, leaving traders exposed if The Weather Company updates its historical data after settlement.

These are the rules for the whole series — every contract in it settles the same way. Full KXHIGHNY settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

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