NFL WEEK 1

Model vs. Kalshi on all 16 openers

Week 1 markets live now

FANTASY DRAFT

Free draft desk inside Claude, ChatGPT or Cursor

8 tools · no account

NFL EDGES

Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked

Gridiron Edge · 5-min refresh

COMBO EDGE

Correlation-aware Kalshi combos — free

SILVER EDGE

Options vs. Kalshi on weekly silver brackets

KalshiWeather & climate

Will the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Aug 19, 2026?

2c

YES · 2% implied

697

contracts 24h

674

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago station CLIMDW on the settlement date meets the variant's threshold condition (between a range, strictly above, or strictly below the threshold) according to The Weather Company.

  • CLIMDW station, not a generic Chicago readingResolution uses the specific Weather Company station code CLIMDW — readings from other Chicago-area stations or sources are irrelevant and may differ.
  • The Weather Company is the sole data sourceOnly The Weather Company's recorded maximum is used; NWS, Weather Underground, or any other provider's data has no bearing on settlement, even if it differs.
  • Inclusive vs. strict boundary varies by variantThe range variant (e.g., 78–79°F) is inclusive on both ends, the 'greater than' variant is strictly exclusive (hitting exactly the threshold resolves NO), and the 'less than' variant is also strictly exclusive — the direction of the inequality changes which side of the threshold resolves YES vs. NO.
  • Integer Fahrenheit granularity assumedThe thresholds are stated in whole-degree Fahrenheit increments, so traders must confirm whether The Weather Company reports to decimal precision and how rounding affects boundary cases.

These are the rules for the whole series — every contract in it settles the same way. Full KXHIGHCHI settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

Related Weather & climate Markets

Trade this market on Kalshi

Buy YES or NO directly on Kalshi

Trade on Kalshi →

Compare this market on Polymarket

See if there's a price discrepancy worth trading

Compare on Polymarket →

Get The 7 Oracles' take on this market — subscribe free

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.