NFL WEEK 1

Model vs. Kalshi on all 16 openers

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FANTASY DRAFT

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NFL EDGES

Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked

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COMBO EDGE

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SILVER EDGE

Options vs. Kalshi on weekly silver brackets

KalshiWeather & climate

Will the maximum temperature be 104-105° on Aug 19, 2026?

37c

YES · 37% implied

484

contracts 24h

458

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Each contract in this series resolves YES if the maximum daily temperature recorded at Austin station CLIAUS by The Weather Company falls within the specific range or direction defined for that contract (between-inclusive, strictly greater than, or strictly less than the threshold) on the designated settlement date.

  • Range vs. strict comparison varies per variantVariant 1 uses an inclusive between-range (102–103°F), Variant 2 uses strictly greater than, and Variant 3 uses strictly less than — hitting an exact boundary resolves differently depending on which contract you hold.
  • CLIAUS station, not a general Austin readingResolution is tied specifically to The Weather Company's CLIAUS station data, which may differ from other weather services or nearby stations, so traders should verify this source directly.
  • Maximum daily temp, not average or closingThe metric is the single maximum temperature recorded for the day, not an average or a specific time-of-day reading, so intraday spikes are what matter for settlement.

These are the rules for the whole series — every contract in it settles the same way. Full KXHIGHAUS settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

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