NFL WEEK 1

Model vs. Kalshi on all 16 openers

Week 1 markets live now

FANTASY DRAFT

Free draft desk inside Claude, ChatGPT or Cursor

8 tools · no account

NFL EDGES

Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked

Gridiron Edge · 5-min refresh

COMBO EDGE

Correlation-aware Kalshi combos — free

SILVER EDGE

Options vs. Kalshi on weekly silver brackets

KalshiWeather & climate

Will there be more than 22 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

37c

YES · 37% implied

160

contracts 24h

205

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the number of named storms in the specified basin (Central Pacific: more than 7; Eastern Pacific: more than 26) is confirmed by the National Weather Service during the May 15–December 1 season.

  • Strictly greater than threshold, not equalHitting exactly the threshold (7 for Central Pacific, 26 for Eastern Pacific) resolves NO — the count must exceed it, so a trader long on YES needs one more storm than the threshold number.
  • NWS 'or equivalent' source is ambiguousThe rules allow an unspecified 'equivalent national weather service,' meaning a count from a non-NWS body (e.g., JTWC or a foreign agency) could be used if NWS data is unavailable or disputed, potentially affecting the final confirmed count.
  • Season boundary is May 15–Dec 1, not calendar yearStorms named before May 15 or on/after December 1 do not count, so early-season or late-season storms near those cutoffs could be excluded and affect whether the threshold is crossed.
  • Central Pacific and Eastern Pacific are separate contractsThese are two distinct variants with different basins and different thresholds; a trader must confirm they are positioned in the correct basin's contract, as storm counts are not interchangeable between the two.

These are the rules for the whole series — every contract in it settles the same way. Full KXNAMEDSTORM settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

Related Weather & climate Markets

Trade this market on Kalshi

Buy YES or NO directly on Kalshi

Trade on Kalshi →

Compare this market on Polymarket

See if there's a price discrepancy worth trading

Compare on Polymarket →

Get The 7 Oracles' take on this market — subscribe free

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.