Will there be more than 22 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?
37c
YES · 37% implied
160
contracts 24h
205
open interest (contracts)
How this settles
Resolves YES if the number of named storms in the specified basin (Central Pacific: more than 7; Eastern Pacific: more than 26) is confirmed by the National Weather Service during the May 15–December 1 season.
- Strictly greater than threshold, not equal — Hitting exactly the threshold (7 for Central Pacific, 26 for Eastern Pacific) resolves NO — the count must exceed it, so a trader long on YES needs one more storm than the threshold number.
- NWS 'or equivalent' source is ambiguous — The rules allow an unspecified 'equivalent national weather service,' meaning a count from a non-NWS body (e.g., JTWC or a foreign agency) could be used if NWS data is unavailable or disputed, potentially affecting the final confirmed count.
- Season boundary is May 15–Dec 1, not calendar year — Storms named before May 15 or on/after December 1 do not count, so early-season or late-season storms near those cutoffs could be excluded and affect whether the threshold is crossed.
- Central Pacific and Eastern Pacific are separate contracts — These are two distinct variants with different basins and different thresholds; a trader must confirm they are positioned in the correct basin's contract, as storm counts are not interchangeable between the two.
These are the rules for the whole series — every contract in it settles the same way. Full KXNAMEDSTORM settlement rules →
24h move: +0.0c
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