Part of The 7 OraclesThee Oracle
Three live panels. What's moving, why it's moving, what's next. Refreshed across five global trading slots, with a forecast calibrated against our own measured track record.
Five refresh slots per day: Asia post-open, Europe post-open, US pre-open, US midday, US pre-close. The dashboard auto-polls every 60s and swaps in fresh data when a new slot lands.
The Reading
CPI inflation contracts dominate the mover board, with the 3.7% YES strike already pricing at 86¢ while the 3.8% and 3.9% strikes sit at 58¢ and 25¢ respectively — a ladder that implies the market sees meaningful probability mass stacked just above the 3.7–3.8% corridor for June 2026. The highest-confidence structural trade is fading the gap between the 3.7% contract at 86¢ and the 3.8% contract at 58¢, a 28-cent spread on strikes just 10 basis points apart that signals either a mispricing in the 3.8% contract or an unusually sharp probability cliff the market has yet to arbitrage flat.
Panel 1 · What's Moving
Top 10 markets by composite mover score · free to read
- 01KALSHIscore 25Rain in Austin in Jun 2026?
29¢
-15.0pp
vol 7K
- 02
58¢
+15.0pp
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- 03KALSHIscore 13Rain in Austin in Jun 2026?
10¢
-8.0pp
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- 04
86¢
+10.0pp
vol 198
- 05
25¢
+7.0pp
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- 06
30¢
-6.0pp
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- 07
16¢
+3.0pp
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- 08
57¢
-3.0pp
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- 09KALSHIscore 3Who will win the next presidential election?
19¢
+2.0pp
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- 10
10¢
+2.0pp
vol 6K
AI-POWERED · UNIQUE
A live dashboard: what's moving, why, and what's next.
What is this?
Thee Oracle is a live prediction-market dashboard — not a question box. It ranks the top 10 movers across Kalshi and Polymarket by a composite score (volume spike, price move, signal cross, edge presence) and rebuilds the read five times a day on a global trading-session cadence (Asia open, Europe open, US pre-open, midday, pre-close).
Three panels: Panel 1 — what's moving right now (free). Panel 2 — the catalyst behind each move (news, signal, cross-platform gap, or commodity fusion). Panel 3 — a forward forecast of direction and price, weighted against our measured 90-day track record. Panels 2 and 3 are Picks Pro.
Real-World Example
→ A Live Read
Panel 1 surfaces a Fed-rate contract spiking on volume. Panel 2 tags the catalyst — a hotter-than-expected CPI print, matched to the market by entity. Panel 3 projects the likely direction and a price target, with the hit rate from similar past setups so you can size the conviction yourself.
You don't type anything — the dashboard is already watching every covered market and refreshes the board each trading slot.
✅Action: Use Thee Oracle to start your trading session: Panel 1 for what's alive, Panel 2 for why, Panel 3 for what we'd do — then size it yourself.
Bottom line: Your god's-eye read on the board across politics, macro, crypto, commodities, and weather. Sports are handled separately by Gridiron Edge.
Full guide →What Is Thee Oracle?
Thee Oracle is a live prediction market intelligence dashboard. It pulls from twelve Supabase tables we already populate — market signals, news with entity links, cross-platform edge detections, commodity fusion signals, political snapshots, weather edge alerts, our own track record — scores every market on a composite mover index, finds the catalyst behind each move, and forecasts forward against analog setups from the last 90 days.
The dashboard is split for SEO and access reasons. Panel 1 — What's Moving — is free and indexable. Panels 2 and 3 are Picks Pro: the catalyst behind each move and a track-record-weighted forecast for direction, price, and confidence.
How Refresh Works
Five slots per day, timed to global market opens: Asia post-open, Europe post-open, US pre-open, US midday, and US pre-close. A single Supabase cron tick checks every fifteen minutes whether we are inside an active slot, and only spends Claude tokens when a real refresh is due. Outside-slot ticks are silent. The dashboard auto-polls every sixty seconds and swaps in the new snapshot when it lands — no page reload required.
When to Use This Tool
Use Thee Oracle to start your trading session. Panel 1 tells you which markets are alive right now. Panel 2 tells you why. Panel 3 tells you what we'd do about it, with the analog hit rate so you can size the conviction yourself. Pair with the Arb Scanner to act on cross-platform signals it surfaces.
Scope
Politics, macro, crypto, commodities (silver, gold, oil, copper), and weather. Each commodity rides its own dedicated engine — Silver Edge, Oil Edge, and Weather Edge feed their strongest signals straight into this dashboard. Sports markets are excluded by design — Gridiron Edge handles those. Thee Oracle is the macro-and-news synthesis brain.
Frequently Asked Questions
What markets does Thee Oracle cover?
Thee Oracle covers 5 macro domains: politics, macroeconomics, crypto, commodities (silver, gold, oil, copper), and weather. Sports markets are excluded by design — Gridiron Edge handles those separately. It synthesizes signals from twelve Supabase tables, including news with entity links, cross-platform edge detections, and commodity fusion, into one composite mover index spanning both Kalshi and Polymarket.
How accurate are Thee Oracle forecasts?
Panel 3 forecasts are weighted against a measured 90-day track record, so every directional call ships with the analog hit rate behind it rather than a bare prediction. The dashboard never claims certainty — it shows the forecast, the catalyst, and how similar setups resolved over the trailing quarter, then lets you size the conviction yourself. Past performance of any analog window does not guarantee a future contract resolves the same way.
Is Thee Oracle free?
Panel 1, the live top-10 mover board, is fully free and indexable for every visitor. Panels 2 and 3 — the catalyst behind each move and the track-record-weighted forecast — are Picks Pro at $14.99 per month. The split is intentional: the mover board answers what is happening right now for free, while the why and what-next layers are the paid edge.