Part of The 7 OraclesThee Oracle
Three live panels. What's moving, why it's moving, what's next. Refreshed across five global trading slots, with a forecast calibrated against our own measured track record.
Quick Answer
Thee Oracle is a live three-panel prediction-market dashboard: the top 10 movers across Kalshi and Polymarket by composite score, the catalyst behind each move, and a track-record-weighted forecast. It refreshes five times daily across the US, Europe, and Asia trading slots.
Five refresh slots per day: Asia post-open, Europe post-open, US pre-open, US midday, US pre-close. The dashboard auto-polls every 60s and swaps in fresh data when a new slot lands.
The Reading
Macro repricing dominates the mover board as traders simultaneously push CPI, real GDP, and Fed funds rate contracts into late 2026, signaling a coordinated stagflation-risk narrative where elevated inflation coexists with contested growth expectations. The highest-confidence structural read: CPI above 3.3% for August 2026 at 82¢ YES is mispriced cheap given that the 3.4% contract already trades at 70¢ — the 12-cent gap between adjacent thresholds implies an implausibly steep probability cliff, making a long position on the 3.3% contract the cleanest arb on the board.
Panel 1 · What's Moving
Top 10 markets by composite mover score · free to read
- 01
96¢
+76.0pp
vol 5K
- 02KALSHIscore 25CROWDEDWill **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q3 2026?
49¢
+30.0pp
vol 1K
- 03KALSHIscore 25Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.0% in Q3 2026?
52¢
+22.0pp
vol 546
- 04KALSHIscore 19CROWDEDWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in August 2026?
44¢
-21.0pp
vol 190
- 05
13¢
-4.0pp
vol 4K
- 06KALSHIscore 15CROWDEDWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in August 2026?
70¢
-9.0pp
vol 601
- 07KALSHIscore 15Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q3 2026?
62¢
+9.0pp
vol 525
- 08KALSHIscore 14CROWDEDWill the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
17¢
+3.0pp
vol 4K
- 09
82¢
-8.0pp
vol 342
- 10KALSHIscore 13Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?
67¢
-8.0pp
vol 300
AI-POWERED · UNIQUE
A live dashboard: what's moving, why, and what's next.
What is this?
Thee Oracle is a live prediction-market dashboard — not a question box. It ranks the top 10 movers across Kalshi and Polymarket by a composite score (volume spike, price move, signal cross, edge presence) and rebuilds the read five times a day on a global trading-session cadence (Asia open, Europe open, US pre-open, midday, pre-close).
Three panels: Panel 1 — what's moving right now (free). Panel 2 — the catalyst behind each move (news, signal, cross-platform gap, or commodity fusion). Panel 3 — a forward forecast of direction and price, weighted against our measured 90-day track record. Panels 2 and 3 are Picks Pro.
Real-World Example
→ A Live Read
Panel 1 surfaces a Fed-rate contract spiking on volume. Panel 2 tags the catalyst — a hotter-than-expected CPI print, matched to the market by entity. Panel 3 projects the likely direction and a price target, with the hit rate from similar past setups so you can size the conviction yourself.
You don't type anything — the dashboard is already watching every covered market and refreshes the board each trading slot.
✅Action: Use Thee Oracle to start your trading session: Panel 1 for what's alive, Panel 2 for why, Panel 3 for what we'd do — then size it yourself.
Bottom line: Your god's-eye read on the board across politics, macro, crypto, commodities, and weather. Sports are handled separately by Gridiron Edge.
Full guide →What Is Thee Oracle?
Thee Oracle is a live prediction market intelligence dashboard. It pulls from twelve Supabase tables we already populate — market signals, news with entity links, cross-platform edge detections, commodity fusion signals, political snapshots, weather edge alerts, our own track record — scores every market on a composite mover index, finds the catalyst behind each move, and forecasts forward against analog setups from the last 90 days.
The dashboard is split for SEO and access reasons. Panel 1 — What's Moving — is free and indexable. Panels 2 and 3 are Picks Pro: the catalyst behind each move and a track-record-weighted forecast for direction, price, and confidence.
How Refresh Works
Five slots per day, timed to global market opens: Asia post-open, Europe post-open, US pre-open, US midday, and US pre-close. A single Supabase cron tick checks every fifteen minutes whether we are inside an active slot, and only spends Claude tokens when a real refresh is due. Outside-slot ticks are silent. The dashboard auto-polls every sixty seconds and swaps in the new snapshot when it lands — no page reload required.
When to Use This Tool
Use Thee Oracle to start your trading session. Panel 1 tells you which markets are alive right now. Panel 2 tells you why. Panel 3 tells you what we'd do about it, with the analog hit rate so you can size the conviction yourself. Pair with the Arb Scanner to act on cross-platform signals it surfaces.
Scope
Politics, macro, crypto, commodities (silver, gold, oil, copper), and weather. Each commodity rides its own dedicated engine — Silver Edge, Oil Edge, and Weather Edge feed their strongest signals straight into this dashboard. Sports markets are excluded by design — Gridiron Edge handles those. Thee Oracle is the macro-and-news synthesis brain.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Thee Oracle prediction market dashboard?
Thee Oracle is a live three-panel dashboard for prediction markets. Panel 1 ranks the top 10 movers across Kalshi and Polymarket by composite score (volume spike, price delta, signal cross, edge presence). Panel 2 shows the most likely catalyst behind each move — news, signal, cross-platform gap, or commodity fusion. Panel 3 forecasts direction and price, weighted against our measured 90-day track record.
How often does Thee Oracle refresh?
Five times daily on a global trading-session schedule: Asia post-open (Tokyo 9:30am), Europe post-open (London 8:30am), US pre-open (New York 8:45am), US midday (12:00pm ET), and US pre-close (3:30pm ET). Each slot triggers a fresh collect → score → explain → forecast pipeline that writes a new payload. The dashboard auto-polls every 60 seconds and swaps in the new snapshot when it lands.
What is the difference between free and Pro on Thee Oracle?
Panel 1 (What is Moving) is fully visible to every visitor — it is the live top-10 mover board. Panel 2 (Why It is Moving) and Panel 3 (What is Next) are Picks Pro features. Pro subscribers see the catalyst behind every mover and a track-record-weighted forecast for direction, price, and confidence.
What is the best live prediction market dashboard?
Thee Oracle is a live three-panel prediction market dashboard that ranks the top 10 movers across Kalshi and Polymarket by composite score, explains the catalyst behind each move (news, signal, cross-platform gap, or commodity fusion), and forecasts direction and price weighted against a measured 90-day track record. The mover panel is free; the catalyst and forecast panels are Picks Pro. The dashboard refreshes five times per day on a global trading-session schedule covering Asia open, Europe open, US pre-open, US midday, and US pre-close.
What markets does Thee Oracle cover?
Thee Oracle covers 5 macro domains: politics, macroeconomics, crypto, commodities (silver, gold, oil, copper), and weather. Sports markets are excluded by design — Gridiron Edge handles those separately. It synthesizes signals from twelve Supabase tables, including news with entity links, cross-platform edge detections, and commodity fusion, into one composite mover index spanning both Kalshi and Polymarket.
How accurate are Thee Oracle forecasts?
Panel 3 forecasts are weighted against a measured 90-day track record, so every directional call ships with the analog hit rate behind it rather than a bare prediction. The dashboard never claims certainty — it shows the forecast, the catalyst, and how similar setups resolved over the trailing quarter, then lets you size the conviction yourself. Past performance of any analog window does not guarantee a future contract resolves the same way.
Is Thee Oracle free?
Panel 1, the live top-10 mover board, is fully free and indexable for every visitor. Panels 2 and 3 — the catalyst behind each move and the track-record-weighted forecast — are Picks Pro at $14.99 per month. The split is intentional: the mover board answers what is happening right now for free, while the why and what-next layers are the paid edge.