SHARED COMBO

2-leg Kalshi same-game combo

Priced against its true joint probability from a Poisson + Dixon-Coles scoreline model.

PLAY ITHits ~61% of the time

Worth -156 · EV +6.9%

The combo

Spain vs Belgium

• Over 1.5 goals

• Spain to advance

Win %

61%

Correlation bonus

+2.1%

Fair odds

-156

Fair band

—

Build your own combo — free →Trade on Kalshi →

Kalshi has no same-game parlay product — you buy each leg as its own contract. This is a model-derived snapshot for education, not advice. Trade responsibly.