NFL WEEK 1

Model vs. Kalshi on all 16 openers

Week 1 markets live now

FANTASY DRAFT

Free draft desk inside Claude, ChatGPT or Cursor

8 tools · no account

NFL EDGES

Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked

Gridiron Edge · 5-min refresh

COMBO EDGE

Correlation-aware Kalshi combos — free

SILVER EDGE

Options vs. Kalshi on weekly silver brackets

FANDUEL PREDICTSALL 50 STATES

FanDuel Predicts Financial Markets: Complete Guide

Financial contracts are available on FanDuel Predicts in all 50 US states. If you're not in a sports state — this is your full catalog. S&P 500, Bitcoin, CPI, GDP — all as binary event contracts. No margin, no continuous price exposure.

How Financial Contracts Work

These are event-based contracts — not continuous trading. You're answering a specific question at a specific point in time.

Example: "Will S&P 500 close above 5,400 on Friday?" trades at $0.58. You think yes — buy YES for $0.58. Friday close is 5,420 → you collect $0.98 (after 2% fee). Friday close is 5,380 → you lose $0.58. That's the ceiling on what you can lose.

No delta. No gamma. No margin calls. No broker account. You're taking a binary position on whether a macro event happens — the same framework that applies to sports contracts, applied to financial data.

Market Categories

Indexes

  • S&P 500 — weekly and monthly close levels
  • Nasdaq — price threshold events
  • Dow Jones

Crypto

  • Bitcoin — price level contracts
  • Ethereum — threshold events
  • Crypto market cap

Commodities

  • Oil (WTI) — price level events
  • Gold — price threshold contracts
  • Natural gas

Economic Data

  • CPI month-over-month — BLS release
  • PCE — Fed's preferred inflation gauge
  • GDP — quarterly growth
  • Non-farm payrolls
  • Unemployment rate

Why Trade Financial Markets on FanDuel Predicts?

Capped Downside

You lose what you paid for the contract. Nothing more. No margin call wipes out your account. Maximum loss is always visible before you enter.

Simple Pricing

A $0.60 contract on whether CPI beats consensus is easier to reason about than a derivatives spread. Price = probability. Math is transparent.

Cross-Platform Edge

The same CPI contract priced at 62% on FanDuel and 55% on Kalshi means one market is wrong. That gap is tradeable edge.

Financial Markets vs Traditional Brokerage

This is not stock trading. You don't own shares. You don't participate in ongoing price movement. You're answering "Will X be above Y on date Z?" — binary resolution, fixed payout.

FanDuel PredictsTraditional Brokerage
Asset ownershipNone — event contract onlyShares, options, futures
Maximum lossContract price paidUnlimited (on some products)
MarginNeverAvailable / required on options
Account requirementsIdentity verification onlyBrokerage account, approval levels
Fee2% on winning payoutCommission + spread + margin interest

Strategy Tips for Financial Markets

Full strategy guide →

Financial Markets FAQ

What financial markets are available on FanDuel Predicts?

FanDuel Predicts offers financial contracts on S&P 500, Nasdaq, Bitcoin, Ethereum, oil (WTI), gold, CPI, PCE, GDP and employment data. All financial contracts are available in all 50 US states.

How do financial contracts work on FanDuel Predicts?

Financial contracts are event-based, not continuous trading. Example: "Will S&P 500 close above 5,400 on Friday?" You buy YES or NO at the current market price. The contract resolves when the event occurs. You collect $1.00 if correct (minus the 2% fee), or lose your position cost if wrong.

When do financial contracts settle?

At the event resolution — for example, the official BLS CPI data release, or the S&P 500 close on a specified date. Settlement is automatic.

Can I lose more than I invest on financial contracts?

No. Maximum loss on any contract is what you paid for it. There is no margin, no leverage, and no possibility of losses exceeding your position cost.

Are financial contracts available in all 50 states, even without sports markets?

Yes. Financial and economic contracts have no state restrictions — all 50 states and DC have full access, regardless of sports eligibility. If you live in a non-sports state you still get S&P 500, Bitcoin, CPI, GDP and every macro contract.

How is FanDuel Predicts financial trading different from stock trading?

You do not own any assets on FanDuel Predicts. You are trading a binary outcome — "Will X be above Y on date Z?" Maximum loss is the contract price. No margin calls, no continuous price exposure, no broker requirements.

Get the 7 Oracles macro market analysis — daily prediction market edge, free

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.