Gridiron Edge refreshes May 1 with 2026 season rosters

In the meantime, check the NFL Draft board — live Kalshi, Polymarket, and DraftKings odds for every top pick.

2026 Fantasy Draft Board

BETAFREE

Half-PPR top 300 rankings, sleepers, and busts for the 2026 season. Monte Carlo season simulation (1,000 runs per player) using DAEPA opponent-adjusted ratings and injury modeling via Player Importance Scores. Free forever — no email gate.

How this worksEach player runs 1,000 simulated seasons using weekly injury probability (position-specific rates), DAEPA matchup adjustments per opponent, and Gaussian noise calibrated to historical per-game variance. Boom% = simulations above elite threshold. Bust% = simulations below starter floor. Rankings updated monthly May–August with FA signings, draft picks, and depth chart changes. Full methodology →

300

Players

Half PPR

Scoring

1,000

Sims / player

Monthly

Updated

300 players · Half PPR · 2026 season

	Player	Pos		PPG					Games
#1QB1	Matthew StaffordLA	QB	459.3	30.9	341.4	544.7	83%	1%	14.9
#2QB2	Trevor LawrenceJAX	QB	440.3	29.5	325.9	522.7	79%	1%	14.9
#3QB3	Drake MayeNE	QB	437.0	29.2	326.1	522.9	80%	2%	14.9
#4QB4	Josh AllenBUF	QB	432.4	29.0	323.9	515.4	79%	3%	14.9
#5QB5	Sam DarnoldSEA	QB	411.4	28.0	309.3	496.6	69%	2%	14.7
#6QB6	Jalen HurtsPHI	QB	404.1	27.0	303.9	480.3	69%	3%	15.0
#7QB7	Daniel JonesIND	QB	396.9	26.6	292.2	472.8	66%	4%	14.9
#8QB8	Jared GoffDET	QB	390.3	26.1	290.9	468.9	63%	4%	14.9
#9QB9	Lamar JacksonBAL	QB	371.0	29.3	272.8	461.1	49%	7%	12.7
#10QB10	Caleb WilliamsCHI	QB	370.9	24.8	279.1	445.0	52%	5%	14.9
#11QB11	C.J. StroudHOU	QB	360.7	24.3	268.6	439.4	43%	7%	14.8
#12QB12	Justin HerbertLAC	QB	345.1	23.4	257.6	416.5	33%	9%	14.8
#13QB13	Dak PrescottDAL	QB	343.3	22.8	260.8	410.1	29%	8%	15.1
#14QB14	Patrick MahomesKC	QB	332.4	22.3	246.5	401.7	22%	10%	14.9
#15QB15	Jaxson DartNYG	QB	316.6	22.6	233.2	386.3	14%	15%	14.0
#16QB16	Bo NixDEN	QB	314.9	21.2	229.9	383.0	12%	15%	14.9
#17QB17	Aaron RodgersPIT	QB	304.8	20.4	225.9	368.0	6%	17%	15.0
#18QB18	Jordan LoveGB	QB	298.6	20.2	219.1	368.9	7%	19%	14.8
#19WR1	Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA	WR	295.2	20.7	214.3	361.3	89%	0%	14.3
#20QB19	Brock PurdySF	QB	284.7	25.7	191.4	370.3	8%	30%	11.1
#21QB20	Baker MayfieldTB	QB	276.5	18.6	206.7	339.4	1%	30%	14.9
#22QB21	Bryce YoungCAR	QB	267.5	17.8	202.6	324.4	0%	33%	15.0
#23QB22	Joe BurrowCIN	QB	262.1	24.8	179.1	341.6	2%	40%	10.6
#23QB22	Jacoby BrissettARI	QB	250.2	16.7	179.7	314.7	0%	46%	14.9
#24QB23	J.J. McCarthyMIN	QB	246.0	23.8	169.8	320.6	1%	52%	10.3
#25QB24	Mac JonesSF	QB	242.2	21.1	171.0	310.7	0%	55%	11.5
#26WR2	Puka NacuaLA	WR	238.3	16.9	167.8	298.2	66%	0%	14.1
#27RB1	Bijan RobinsonATL	RB	235.7	18.8	154.5	316.3	43%	4%	12.6
#28QB25	Cam WardTEN	QB	235.1	15.9	169.5	294.1	0%	61%	14.8
#29QB26	Joe FlaccoCIN	QB	231.7	23.2	155.3	311.5	0%	60%	10.0
#30RB2	De'Von AchaneMIA	RB	231.3	18.1	150.6	303.8	42%	4%	12.8
#31QB27	Tyler ShoughNO	QB	230.5	17.3	165.1	293.8	0%	64%	13.3
#32RB3	Christian McCaffreySF	RB	224.2	17.8	144.9	299.4	37%	4%	12.6
#33RB4	Jahmyr GibbsDET	RB	219.8	17.2	141.2	292.4	34%	5%	12.8
#34QB28	Michael Penix Jr.ATL	QB	213.6	19.3	145.7	278.9	0%	75%	11.0
#35RB5	Jonathan TaylorIND	RB	212.3	16.8	138.7	283.0	28%	6%	12.7
#36WR3	Amon-Ra St. BrownDET	WR	199.2	13.9	138.4	253.0	34%	1%	14.3
#37RB6	Ashton JeantyLV	RB	186.4	14.8	119.6	251.4	11%	10%	12.6
#38QB29	Marcus MariotaWAS	QB	185.9	20.0	118.5	249.1	0%	91%	9.3
#39RB7	Chase BrownCIN	RB	179.3	14.1	115.6	241.0	7%	12%	12.7
#40WR4	Zay FlowersBAL	WR	177.6	12.5	122.8	225.8	13%	3%	14.2
#41RB8	Tony PollardTEN	RB	172.3	13.5	110.8	231.1	4%	15%	12.8
#42WR5	Ja'Marr ChaseCIN	WR	162.3	11.3	115.6	205.1	3%	6%	14.4
#43RB9	Derrick HenryBAL	RB	161.5	13.0	100.0	222.9	2%	19%	12.4
#44RB10	Josh JacobsGB	RB	159.7	12.6	99.4	217.8	1%	19%	12.6
#45RB11	Saquon BarkleyPHI	RB	158.0	12.5	98.7	214.7	1%	20%	12.6
#46RB12	Javonte WilliamsDAL	RB	155.7	12.4	100.7	213.8	1%	22%	12.6
#47RB13	Kyren WilliamsLA	RB	155.7	12.4	96.1	212.1	1%	22%	12.6
#48QB30	Fernando MendozaLV	QB	153.1	11.2	105.0	200.8	0%	100%	13.7
#49RB14	James CookBUF	RB	151.3	12.0	93.3	207.6	1%	24%	12.6
#50QB31	Jayden DanielsWAS	QB	150.5	19.1	90.7	213.4	0%	98%	7.9
#51WR6	George PickensDAL	WR	150.0	10.5	105.9	193.9	1%	8%	14.3
#52RB15	Jeremiyah LoveARI	RB	148.9	11.8	92.7	203.5	0%	26%	12.6
#53QB32	Carson WentzMIN	QB	148.5	20.6	83.3	217.3	0%	96%	7.2
#54QB33	Spencer RattlerNO	QB	147.8	14.4	97.1	198.8	0%	99%	10.3
#55QB34	Shedeur SandersCLE	QB	144.7	16.0	91.5	200.4	0%	99%	9.1
#56WR7	Davante AdamsLA	WR	142.5	10.1	98.7	182.9	1%	11%	14.2
#57RB16	Jaylen WarrenPIT	RB	140.3	11.1	87.8	190.8	0%	31%	12.6
#58RB17	Breece HallNYJ	RB	137.6	10.8	84.6	188.5	0%	33%	12.8
#59RB18	Quinshon JudkinsCLE	RB	136.7	10.8	84.7	186.3	0%	35%	12.6
#60QB35	Davis MillsHOU	QB	136.5	20.6	74.0	199.1	0%	99%	6.6
#61WR8	A.J. BrownPHI	WR	135.4	9.6	90.3	176.3	0%	14%	14.2
#61WR8	Jordyn TysonNO	WR	132.1	9.2	90.6	170.8	0%	16%	14.3
#62WR9	Jameson WilliamsDET	WR	132.1	9.3	88.2	173.0	0%	18%	14.2
#63RB19	RJ HarveyDEN	RB	127.9	10.1	76.3	178.6	0%	40%	12.7
#64WR10	Carnell TateTEN	WR	127.7	9.0	86.6	168.8	0%	19%	14.2
#65WR11	Justin JeffersonMIN	WR	126.2	8.8	87.5	162.2	0%	19%	14.4
#66RB20	D'Andre SwiftCHI	RB	126.1	10.1	76.4	175.6	0%	44%	12.5
#67WR12	Nico CollinsHOU	WR	125.5	8.8	85.6	164.6	0%	20%	14.2
#68WR13	DeVonta SmithPHI	WR	124.9	8.8	85.5	163.2	0%	20%	14.3
#69WR14	Tee HigginsCIN	WR	123.2	8.6	82.7	160.8	0%	22%	14.2
#70TE1	Hunter HenryNE	TE	121.4	8.8	83.0	156.6	8%	5%	13.7
#71TE2	Dallas GoedertPHI	TE	121.1	8.9	79.3	157.0	7%	6%	13.7
#72WR15	Khalil ShakirBUF	WR	119.7	8.3	81.5	157.0	0%	25%	14.4
#73RB21	TreVeyon HendersonNE	RB	119.5	9.5	72.0	167.8	0%	51%	12.6
#74WR16	Alec PierceIND	WR	115.7	8.1	76.4	151.6	0%	29%	14.2
#75TE3	AJ BarnerSEA	TE	115.5	8.4	76.8	151.4	6%	7%	13.7
#76WR17	Chris OlaveNO	WR	114.3	8.1	76.5	150.3	0%	30%	14.1
#77TE4	Kyle PittsATL	TE	112.5	8.1	78.5	145.5	2%	6%	13.9
#78TE5	Tyler WarrenIND	TE	112.0	8.2	75.3	147.6	2%	7%	13.6
#79WR18	Parker WashingtonJAX	WR	110.9	7.8	72.2	147.4	0%	34%	14.2
#80RB22	Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS	RB	110.7	8.8	64.8	154.1	0%	60%	12.5
#81TE6	Trey McBrideARI	TE	109.7	8.1	75.6	143.7	2%	7%	13.7
#81RB23	Rhamondre StevensonNE	RB	109.6	8.7	63.3	156.2	0%	62%	12.5
#82WR19	Drake LondonATL	WR	108.4	7.5	73.0	143.1	0%	39%	14.4
#83TE6	George KittleSF	TE	108.0	7.8	73.0	141.2	2%	9%	13.9
#84QB36	Dillon GabrielCLE	QB	107.8	13.7	62.1	154.0	0%	100%	7.9
#85WR20	Tetairoa McMillanCAR	WR	107.7	7.6	71.9	143.9	0%	38%	14.2
#86WR21	Courtland SuttonDEN	WR	106.5	7.4	71.0	142.8	0%	41%	14.4
#87TE7	Dalton SchultzHOU	TE	106.0	7.7	71.1	139.3	1%	9%	13.8
#88WR22	DK MetcalfPIT	WR	104.8	7.4	68.2	139.6	0%	44%	14.2
#89TE8	Jake FergusonDAL	TE	101.4	7.3	69.3	132.3	1%	10%	13.9
#90RB24	Jordan MasonMIN	RB	101.4	8.0	60.1	141.8	0%	73%	12.7
#91WR23	De'Zhaun StriblingSF	WR	101.4	7.2	65.2	136.9	0%	49%	14.2
#92RB25	Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYG	RB	101.0	8.0	62.5	139.7	0%	74%	12.6
#93WR24	CeeDee LambDAL	WR	99.2	7.0	64.9	133.7	0%	52%	14.2
#94WR25	Quentin JohnstonLAC	WR	98.6	7.0	67.0	130.8	0%	53%	14.2
#95WR26	Ladd McConkeyLAC	WR	97.9	6.8	64.1	133.4	0%	55%	14.3
#96TE9	Colston LovelandCHI	TE	96.7	6.9	64.9	127.4	0%	14%	14.0
#97WR27	Germie BernardPIT	WR	96.6	6.8	62.0	130.7	0%	56%	14.2
#98WR28	Josh DownsIND	WR	96.6	6.8	62.1	129.2	0%	54%	14.2
#99RB26	Zach CharbonnetSEA	RB	96.0	7.6	56.9	134.9	0%	78%	12.7
#100WR29	Makai LemonPHI	WR	95.9	6.8	59.0	131.6	0%	57%	14.1
#101WR30	Kayshon BoutteNE	WR	94.2	6.7	61.1	127.4	0%	59%	14.2
#102WR31	Cooper KuppSEA	WR	93.9	6.7	61.7	126.8	0%	59%	14.2
#103TE10	Dalton KincaidBUF	TE	93.8	6.9	62.4	126.4	0%	17%	13.6
#104RB27	Bucky IrvingTB	RB	93.8	7.3	53.7	135.5	0%	79%	12.8
#105TE11	Mark AndrewsBAL	TE	92.2	6.7	59.0	123.9	0%	19%	13.7
#106TE12	Colby ParkinsonLA	TE	91.6	6.6	59.0	122.2	0%	19%	13.8
#107RB28	Woody MarksHOU	RB	89.7	7.0	51.6	127.6	0%	84%	12.8
#108WR32	Troy FranklinDEN	WR	89.0	6.3	57.1	120.6	0%	67%	14.2
#109RB29	Cam SkatteboNYG	RB	88.8	7.0	49.9	128.6	0%	85%	12.6
#110RB30	J.K. DobbinsDEN	RB	88.6	7.0	51.2	125.0	0%	86%	12.6
#111RB31	Aaron JonesMIN	RB	87.4	6.9	49.5	126.7	0%	86%	12.6
#112RB32	Omarion HamptonLAC	RB	86.9	6.9	48.6	124.9	0%	87%	12.7
#113WR33	Jayden HigginsHOU	WR	86.7	6.1	54.2	119.9	0%	70%	14.2
#114TE13	Travis KelceKC	TE	86.1	6.2	54.3	116.3	0%	27%	13.8
#115WR34	Rome OdunzeCHI	WR	84.7	5.9	53.9	115.1	0%	73%	14.4
#116RB33	Chuba HubbardCAR	RB	83.9	6.7	47.6	122.5	0%	89%	12.6
#117RB34	Kyle MonangaiCHI	RB	83.8	6.6	46.3	120.5	0%	89%	12.8
#118WR35	Omar Cooper Jr.NYJ	WR	83.7	5.8	52.7	114.7	0%	75%	14.3
#119WR36	Christian WatsonGB	WR	83.5	5.9	51.9	115.9	0%	76%	14.2
#120WR37	Brian Thomas Jr.JAX	WR	82.0	5.7	50.6	113.6	0%	76%	14.4
#121WR39	Michael WilsonARI	WR	82.9	5.8	51.0	115.3	0%	75%	14.3
#121WR38	KC ConcepcionCLE	WR	81.9	5.8	50.5	110.7	0%	78%	14.2
#122WR39	Emeka EgbukaTB	WR	81.6	5.8	50.5	113.3	0%	77%	14.2
#123WR40	Mack HollinsNE	WR	81.3	5.7	51.2	111.2	0%	78%	14.4
#124RB35	Jadarian PriceSEA	RB	81.3	6.4	46.5	116.4	0%	92%	12.7
#125WR41	Denzel BostonCLE	WR	81.3	5.7	51.5	112.3	0%	77%	14.2
#126TE14	Brenton StrangeJAX	TE	81.2	5.8	51.7	108.2	0%	31%	13.9
#127WR42	Luther Burden IIICHI	WR	81.1	5.8	49.8	111.7	0%	79%	14.0
#128RB36	Kimani VidalLAC	RB	79.9	6.3	45.1	115.3	0%	92%	12.7
#129TE15	Harold Fannin Jr.CLE	TE	79.8	5.7	52.0	106.8	0%	32%	14.0
#130WR43	Keon ColemanBUF	WR	79.7	5.6	50.1	107.8	0%	81%	14.3
#131RB36	Bam KnightARI	RB	79.5	6.3	45.0	114.9	0%	94%	12.6
#131RB37	Blake CorumLA	RB	79.7	6.3	45.8	114.6	0%	94%	12.7
#132WR44	Jakobi MeyersJAX	WR	79.6	5.6	49.9	108.9	0%	81%	14.1
#133RB38	Sean TuckerTB	RB	79.0	6.2	42.5	114.9	0%	94%	12.8
#134WR45	Jordan AddisonMIN	WR	78.5	5.5	49.0	107.8	0%	82%	14.2
#135RB39	Tyjae SpearsTEN	RB	78.5	6.2	44.3	112.6	0%	94%	12.7
#136TE16	Juwan JohnsonNO	TE	78.1	5.7	49.5	105.9	0%	35%	13.7
#137TE17	Brock BowersLV	TE	77.8	5.7	51.0	102.9	0%	34%	13.8
#138RB40	Alvin KamaraNO	RB	77.5	6.0	42.5	113.4	0%	93%	12.8
#139RB41	Devin SingletaryNYG	RB	77.1	6.2	41.8	111.2	0%	95%	12.5
#140TE18	Dawson KnoxBUF	TE	76.2	5.5	50.6	102.4	0%	38%	13.8
#141WR46	Rashee RiceKC	WR	75.8	5.3	45.6	105.3	0%	85%	14.4
#142TE19	T.J. HockensonMIN	TE	74.8	5.4	48.2	101.2	0%	41%	13.9
#143WR47	Tre TuckerLV	WR	74.0	5.2	44.7	102.9	0%	87%	14.2
#144TE20	Tucker KraftGB	TE	73.3	5.3	46.2	101.2	0%	45%	13.8
#145WR48	DeMario DouglasNE	WR	73.0	5.1	46.8	102.3	0%	89%	14.3
#146TE21	Sam LaPortaDET	TE	72.8	5.3	44.9	101.9	0%	46%	13.8
#147WR49	Terry McLaurinWAS	WR	72.7	5.1	41.8	102.3	0%	88%	14.3
#148TE22	Oronde Gadsden IILAC	TE	71.9	5.2	46.5	97.1	0%	45%	13.8
#149TE23	Pat FreiermuthPIT	TE	71.1	5.2	45.7	96.4	0%	47%	13.7
#150WR50	Ryan FlournoyDAL	WR	70.5	5.0	42.5	101.4	0%	89%	14.2
#151WR51	Xavier HutchinsonHOU	WR	69.4	4.9	41.9	97.1	0%	92%	14.3
#152WR52	Malik WashingtonMIA	WR	68.0	4.8	39.7	96.6	0%	93%	14.1
#153WR53	Garrett WilsonNYJ	WR	67.9	4.8	41.1	96.8	0%	92%	14.2
#154RB42	Samaje PerineCIN	RB	67.8	5.3	36.9	100.1	0%	98%	12.7
#155QB37	Ty SimpsonLA	QB	67.4	14.5	27.0	112.0	0%	100%	4.7
#156TE24	Theo JohnsonNYG	TE	67.0	4.8	40.4	92.6	0%	56%	13.9
#157WR54	Tory HortonSEA	WR	67.0	4.7	39.9	94.7	0%	94%	14.2
#158WR55	Isaac TeSlaaDET	WR	65.9	4.6	38.0	93.3	0%	95%	14.2
#159WR56	Ricky PearsallSF	WR	65.8	4.5	39.3	92.1	0%	94%	14.5
#160RB43	Ty JohnsonBUF	RB	65.8	5.3	34.8	98.3	0%	98%	12.5
#161TE25	Jake TongesSF	TE	65.6	4.7	41.4	90.2	0%	60%	13.9
#162QB38	Brady CookNYJ	QB	64.8	9.6	30.5	102.2	0%	100%	6.8
#163WR57	Ja'Kobi LaneBAL	WR	63.3	4.5	36.2	92.2	0%	96%	14.1
#164WR58	Jalen CokerCAR	WR	62.9	4.4	37.4	89.8	0%	96%	14.3
#165WR59	Chimere DikeTEN	WR	62.0	4.4	35.5	89.5	0%	96%	14.2
#166WR60	Elic AyomanorTEN	WR	62.0	4.3	36.4	88.2	0%	96%	14.3
#167RB44	Bhayshul TutenJAX	RB	61.9	4.9	32.9	91.6	0%	99%	12.6
#168RB45	Dylan SampsonCLE	RB	61.8	4.9	32.4	93.6	0%	99%	12.7
#169WR61	Zavion ThomasCHI	WR	61.5	4.3	35.2	86.9	0%	97%	14.3
#170RB46	Jeremy McNicholsWAS	RB	60.6	4.7	31.3	89.9	0%	99%	12.7
#171WR62	Jerry JeudyCLE	WR	60.4	4.2	34.3	87.0	0%	97%	14.3
#172WR63	Xavier LegetteCAR	WR	59.9	4.2	33.1	86.6	0%	97%	14.2
#173WR64	Jaylin NoelHOU	WR	59.6	4.2	34.2	85.6	0%	98%	14.3
#174WR65	Zachariah BranchATL	WR	59.5	4.2	34.8	86.1	0%	98%	14.4
#175WR66	Chris BellMIA	WR	59.5	4.2	35.1	85.1	0%	98%	14.4
#176WR67	Caleb DouglasMIA	WR	59.4	4.2	34.3	86.2	0%	96%	14.2
#177WR68	Darius SlaytonNYG	WR	58.8	4.1	33.2	84.4	0%	97%	14.3
#178WR69	Tez JohnsonTB	WR	58.4	4.1	33.5	85.2	0%	98%	14.1
#179WR70	KaVontae TurpinDAL	WR	58.3	4.1	33.3	84.5	0%	97%	14.3
#180RB47	Justice HillBAL	RB	58.2	4.6	31.3	87.1	0%	100%	12.6
#181WR71	Malachi FieldsNYG	WR	58.1	4.1	32.9	82.9	0%	98%	14.2
#182WR72	Chris Brazzell IICAR	WR	58.1	4.1	31.9	83.2	0%	99%	14.2
#182WR72	Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI	WR	58.4	4.1	33.9	84.9	0%	98%	14.3
#183QB39	Quinn EwersMIA	QB	58.1	16.0	18.0	103.1	0%	100%	3.6
#184WR73	Xavier WorthyKC	WR	58.0	4.0	36.1	80.8	0%	99%	14.4
#185WR74	Andrei IosivasCIN	WR	57.7	4.0	32.0	84.2	0%	98%	14.2
#186TE26	Cade OttonTB	TE	57.7	4.2	33.6	80.8	0%	74%	13.7
#187QB40	Riley LeonardIND	QB	57.1	19.8	14.8	104.1	0%	100%	2.9
#188RB48	Ollie Gordon IIMIA	RB	57.0	4.5	29.3	85.4	0%	100%	12.6
#188QB39	Jameis WinstonNYG	QB	57.6	19.6	13.8	107.9	0%	100%	2.9
#189RB49	Devin NealNO	RB	56.6	4.5	27.4	86.4	0%	100%	12.7
#190WR75	Antonio WilliamsWAS	WR	56.5	4.0	31.7	83.0	0%	97%	14.2
#191RB50	Tank BigsbyPHI	RB	56.2	4.4	28.5	84.5	0%	100%	12.7
#193WR76	Rashod BatemanBAL	WR	55.5	3.9	33.0	79.0	0%	99%	14.4
#194RB51	Isaiah DavisNYJ	RB	55.3	4.4	26.8	83.6	0%	100%	12.5
#195WR77	Tre HarrisLAC	WR	55.0	3.9	29.5	82.1	0%	98%	14.3
#196WR78	Ted HurstTB	WR	54.9	3.9	31.7	79.7	0%	99%	14.2
#197WR79	Marvin Mims Jr.DEN	WR	54.7	3.9	29.6	80.0	0%	99%	14.2
#198RB52	Jaylen WrightMIA	RB	54.5	4.3	27.5	83.0	0%	100%	12.7
#199WR80	Luke McCaffreyWAS	WR	54.3	3.8	30.9	79.4	0%	99%	14.4
#200WR81	Pat BryantDEN	WR	54.1	3.8	29.6	78.1	0%	98%	14.2
#201WR82	Tyquan ThorntonKC	WR	54.0	3.8	30.4	78.6	0%	99%	14.3
#202RB53	Kaelon BlackSF	RB	53.8	4.3	27.8	80.5	0%	100%	12.6
#203WR83	Chris Godwin Jr.TB	WR	53.1	3.8	29.9	78.6	0%	100%	14.2
#204TE27	Tyler HigbeeLA	TE	53.1	3.8	31.3	74.8	0%	85%	13.8
#205TE28	Kenyon SadiqNYJ	TE	53.0	3.8	31.6	74.4	0%	85%	13.9
#206WR84	Josh PalmerBUF	WR	53.0	3.7	30.7	75.1	0%	99%	14.2
#207QB40	Tyler HuntleyBAL	QB	53.4	17.6	15.5	96.1	0%	100%	3.0
#207RB54	Ray DavisBUF	RB	52.7	4.2	26.3	79.3	0%	100%	12.7
#208WR85	Kyle WilliamsNE	WR	52.1	3.7	29.9	76.9	0%	99%	14.2
#209WR86	Tyrell ShaversBUF	WR	52.1	3.7	29.2	75.7	0%	100%	14.2
#210RB55	Audric EstiméNO	RB	51.9	4.1	26.6	78.5	0%	100%	12.7
#211WR87	Demarcus RobinsonSF	WR	51.7	3.6	28.5	76.5	0%	99%	14.3
#212TE29	Jackson HawesBUF	TE	51.7	3.7	30.6	74.0	0%	85%	13.9
#213TE30	Evan EngramDEN	TE	51.6	3.7	30.0	73.4	0%	87%	13.8
#214WR88	Matthew GoldenGB	WR	51.6	3.6	27.4	77.1	0%	99%	14.2
#215RB56	Kyle JuszczykSF	RB	51.3	4.1	24.5	80.1	0%	100%	12.6
#216WR89	Xavier SmithLA	WR	50.8	3.6	27.5	74.6	0%	100%	14.3
#217WR90	Jayden ReedGB	WR	50.3	3.5	28.1	72.8	0%	99%	14.2
#218WR91	Adonai MitchellNYJ	WR	49.9	3.5	28.8	72.1	0%	100%	14.2
#219WR92	Josh CameronJAX	WR	49.9	3.5	27.2	73.4	0%	100%	14.3
#220RB57	Brashard SmithKC	RB	49.6	4.0	24.8	76.7	0%	100%	12.5
#221WR93	CJ DanielsLA	WR	49.6	3.5	27.7	72.1	0%	100%	14.4
#223TE31	Darnell WashingtonPIT	TE	49.3	3.5	29.0	69.8	0%	90%	13.9
#224TE32	Davis AllenLA	TE	49.2	3.6	28.4	69.5	0%	91%	13.7
#225TE33	Josh OliverMIN	TE	49.1	3.6	29.9	70.6	0%	90%	13.7
#226WR94	Skyler BellBUF	WR	48.9	3.4	26.1	73.0	0%	100%	14.3
#227TE34	Gunnar HelmTEN	TE	48.8	3.5	28.1	69.6	0%	91%	13.9
#228WR95	Emmanuel Henderson Jr.SEA	WR	48.8	3.4	25.4	73.1	0%	100%	14.2
#229TE35	Cole KmetCHI	TE	48.8	3.6	28.1	70.8	0%	89%	13.7
#230WR96	Kendrick LawDET	WR	48.7	3.5	27.0	72.5	0%	100%	14.2
#231WR97	Malik NabersNYG	WR	48.6	3.4	25.8	72.9	0%	100%	14.2
#232RB58	Malik DavisDAL	RB	48.3	3.8	24.3	75.4	0%	100%	12.6
#233WR98	Devaughn VeleNO	WR	48.3	3.4	24.9	72.4	0%	100%	14.1
#234TE36	Mason TaylorNYJ	TE	48.2	3.5	27.5	69.2	0%	91%	13.8
#235WR99	Elijah SarrattBAL	WR	48.1	3.4	25.3	71.9	0%	100%	14.3
#236WR100	Cedric TillmanCLE	WR	47.9	3.4	24.4	71.1	0%	100%	14.3
#237RB59	Zavier ScottMIN	RB	47.6	3.7	23.5	73.5	0%	100%	12.7
#238RB60	Kendre MillerNO	RB	47.1	3.7	22.5	74.1	0%	100%	12.6
#239WR101	Kaden WetjenPIT	WR	47.1	3.3	23.9	70.9	0%	99%	14.1
#240WR102	Roman WilsonPIT	WR	46.9	3.3	26.0	70.8	0%	100%	14.1
#241TE37	Greg DulcichMIA	TE	46.9	3.4	27.2	67.3	0%	92%	13.7
#242WR103	Rashid ShaheedSEA	WR	46.6	3.3	25.3	68.5	0%	100%	14.1
#243WR104	Colbie YoungCIN	WR	46.4	3.3	24.8	67.8	0%	100%	14.1
#244WR105	Brenen ThompsonLAC	WR	46.1	3.2	24.2	68.8	0%	100%	14.2
#245WR106	Kevin Coleman Jr.MIA	WR	45.7	3.2	25.1	68.8	0%	100%	14.3
#246TE38	Mike GesickiCIN	TE	45.2	3.3	25.9	64.4	0%	95%	13.8
#247WR107	Jordan WhittingtonLA	WR	44.8	3.1	23.7	68.3	0%	100%	14.2
#248WR108	Isaiah WilliamsNYJ	WR	44.6	3.1	24.1	67.0	0%	100%	14.1
#248RB60	Trey BensonARI	RB	45.1	3.5	21.3	69.7	0%	100%	12.7
#249WR109	Konata MumpfieldLA	WR	44.4	3.1	23.5	66.8	0%	100%	14.2
#250RB61	Jaleel McLaughlinDEN	RB	44.2	3.5	20.8	70.0	0%	100%	12.6
#251WR110	Cyrus AllenKC	WR	44.1	3.1	23.2	66.5	0%	100%	14.2
#251RB61	James ConnerARI	RB	44.8	3.5	20.8	70.7	0%	100%	12.6
#252TE39	Tommy TrembleCAR	TE	43.8	3.2	24.8	63.8	0%	95%	13.7
#253WR111	Bryce LanceNO	WR	43.8	3.1	22.9	66.1	0%	100%	14.1
#254RB62	Hunter LuepkeDAL	RB	43.8	3.5	20.4	69.5	0%	100%	12.7
#255WR112	Calvin RidleyTEN	WR	43.8	3.0	23.9	65.6	0%	100%	14.3
#256WR113	Barion BrownNO	WR	43.4	3.0	22.3	64.4	0%	100%	14.3
#257WR114	Reggie VirgilARI	WR	43.3	3.0	22.1	65.5	0%	100%	14.3
#257WR115	Gunner OlszewskiNYG	WR	43.7	3.0	22.9	64.0	0%	100%	14.3
#258TE40	Tanner HudsonCIN	TE	43.1	3.1	23.9	62.1	0%	96%	13.8
#259TE41	Terrance FergusonLA	TE	42.8	3.1	22.8	62.2	0%	96%	13.8
#260RB63	Jawhar JordanHOU	RB	42.6	3.4	19.7	67.0	0%	100%	12.7
#261RB64	Nicholas SingletonTEN	RB	42.4	3.4	20.0	66.9	0%	100%	12.5
#262WR115	Jack BechLV	WR	42.4	3.0	23.1	63.3	0%	100%	14.4
#263RB65	Kaytron AllenWAS	RB	42.4	3.4	19.0	67.5	0%	100%	12.6
#264RB66	Emmett JohnsonKC	RB	42.4	3.3	19.0	67.4	0%	100%	12.6
#265RB67	Jonah ColemanDEN	RB	42.3	3.3	19.3	66.6	0%	100%	12.8
#266WR116	Jahdae WalkerCHI	WR	42.3	3.0	21.9	64.5	0%	100%	14.0
#267TE42	Nate BoerkircherJAX	TE	42.2	3.1	22.5	61.6	0%	96%	13.8
#268WR117	Jaylin LaneWAS	WR	42.2	2.9	20.9	64.8	0%	100%	14.4
#269WR118	Malik BensonLV	WR	42.1	2.9	20.6	64.4	0%	100%	14.3
#270WR119	Savion WilliamsGB	WR	42.0	2.9	21.7	63.7	0%	100%	14.3
#271RB68	Chris BrooksGB	RB	42.0	3.3	19.8	66.0	0%	100%	12.6
#272RB69	Adam RandallBAL	RB	41.7	3.3	19.8	65.0	0%	100%	12.6
#273RB70	Mike Washington Jr.LV	RB	41.7	3.3	19.5	64.9	0%	100%	12.6
#274RB71	Rasheen AliBAL	RB	41.6	3.3	18.4	64.7	0%	100%	12.7
#275WR120	Theo Wease Jr.MIA	WR	41.5	2.9	21.8	62.5	0%	100%	14.3
#276RB72	Demond ClaiborneMIN	RB	41.4	3.3	18.5	65.5	0%	100%	12.6
#277WR121	Isaiah HodginsNYG	WR	41.4	2.9	21.5	63.0	0%	100%	14.3
#278WR122	Treylon BurksWAS	WR	41.4	2.9	21.7	63.7	0%	100%	14.2
#279WR123	Isaiah BondCLE	WR	41.3	2.9	20.4	63.6	0%	100%	14.3
#280RB73	Jaret PattersonLAC	RB	41.2	3.2	20.0	64.4	0%	100%	12.8
#281TE43	Max KlareLA	TE	41.2	3.0	23.4	60.2	0%	97%	13.8
#282WR124	Brycen TremayneCAR	WR	41.2	3.0	21.3	63.1	0%	100%	13.9
#283WR125	Mitchell TinsleyCIN	WR	41.1	2.9	20.8	62.0	0%	100%	14.3
#284TE44	Marlin KleinHOU	TE	41.1	3.0	23.6	61.4	0%	97%	13.9
#285RB74	Raheim SandersCLE	RB	41.1	3.3	18.6	64.7	0%	100%	12.5
#286TE45	Michael MayerLV	TE	40.9	3.0	22.1	60.5	0%	97%	13.8
#287TE46	Elijah ArroyoSEA	TE	40.7	3.0	22.6	59.7	0%	97%	13.8
#288TE47	Ja'Tavion SandersCAR	TE	40.6	3.0	21.6	62.1	0%	96%	13.7
#289TE48	Eli RaridonNE	TE	40.4	2.9	22.0	58.5	0%	98%	13.8
#290WR126	Jalen McMillanTB	WR	40.4	2.8	20.5	61.0	0%	100%	14.2
#291RB75	Jaydon BlueDAL	RB	40.3	3.2	18.8	63.5	0%	100%	12.5

Proj — Median season total (half PPR pts)Floor / Ceil — 10th / 90th percentileBoom% — % of sims hitting elite thresholdBust% — % of sims below starter floorGames — Avg games played across 1,000 simsPPG — Median pts per game played

Updated monthly May–August · Weekly in-season · Powered by DAEPA v2 · 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Frequently asked

Is the 2026 Fantasy Draft Board free?

Yes. The full top 300 rankings, sleepers, busts, floor, ceiling, boom% and bust% are free with no email gate and no paywall.

What scoring format are the rankings in?

Half PPR. Our in-season Pro projections support standard, half-PPR, and PPR; the free preseason Draft Board is half-PPR only — the most common league format.

How are the projections produced?

Each player runs 1,000 simulated seasons using weekly injury probability (position-specific rates), DAEPA opponent-adjusted matchup effects every week, and Gaussian noise calibrated to historical per-game variance. Boom% = simulations landing above the elite positional threshold. Bust% = simulations below the startable floor. Rankings update monthly May through August.

How do you flag sleepers and busts?

Sleeper = a player ranked outside the top 50 overall whose boom-percentage is 40% or higher. Bust = a player ranked inside the top 50 whose bust-percentage is 40% or higher. Boom/bust thresholds are position-specific but the flag rules are applied uniformly so the signal is comparable across positions.

When will the 2026 rankings be live?

First full 2026 cut releases mid-May after the NFL schedule drops and rosters settle post-draft. We refresh monthly through training camp, with a final pre-Week-1 update the Friday before the opener.